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If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. No market resolves on whether a measure is called a "wealth tax." Each market names one specific measure and resolves only on that measure, whatever it is named. A measure set out in the Chancellor's Budget statement or in the Budget documents published by HM Treasury qualifies, and it need not be legislated or in force before Dec 1, 2026. Measures announced by the Scottish or Welsh governments or the Northern Ireland Executive do NOT count. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Retraction of previously announced commitments Each market resolves on any announcement meeting its description, with no minimum size: Capital Gains Tax Rise: an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax, even if another main rate is reduced Mansion Tax Increase: an increase in the charges of the High Value Council Tax Surcharge, or a reduction in its entry threshold Inheritance Tax Rise: an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of a relief or exemption Annual Wealth Tax: a new annual tax on total net wealth above a threshold. A one-off levy or a tax on a single asset class does NOT qualify Council Tax Replacement: replacing council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax

If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. No market resolves on whether a measure is called a "wealth tax." Each market names one specific measure and resolves only on that measure, whatever it is named. A measure set out in the Chancellor's Budget statement or in the Budget documents published by HM Treasury qualifies, and it need not be legislated or in force before Dec 1, 2026. Measures announced by the Scottish or Welsh governments or the Northern Ireland Executive do NOT count. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Retraction of previously announced commitments Each market resolves on any announcement meeting its description, with no minimum size: Capital Gains Tax Rise: an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax, even if another main rate is reduced Mansion Tax Increase: an increase in the charges of the High Value Council Tax Surcharge, or a reduction in its entry threshold Inheritance Tax Rise: an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of a relief or exemption Annual Wealth Tax: a new annual tax on total net wealth above a threshold. A one-off levy or a tax on a single asset class does NOT qualify Council Tax Replacement: replacing council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax

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Key stats

Expiry
Dec 1, 2026(48 days)
Interest
$4,138.08
Vol (24H)
$289.00→ 0.00%
Total
$11K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.