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Politics Prediction Markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Scott Jennings
Anna Kelly
$3,903,347 vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$22,982,706 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$9,531,273 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$24,140,126 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/23-8/29)
180-199
200-219
$77,701 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$5,185,099 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$7,359,429 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,683,912 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason market icon
Amy Gleason
Brooke Rollins market icon
Brooke Rollins
$9,117,449 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$477,787 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
Above 30
Above 35
$163,698 vol
Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
$1,142,265 vol
Which company is behind Ox Alpha?
Z.ai
xAI
$156,221 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 10
Above 15
$21,979 vol
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?
Before Sep 15, 2026
Before Sep 8, 2026
$115,787 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Anthony Fauci market icon
Anthony Fauci
Dan J. Sullivan market icon
Dan J. Sullivan
$2,833,056 vol
Natalie Harp White House departure announced?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$12,564 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$112,060 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
$853,297 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)
Above 1
Above 0
$32,942 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Cuba market icon
Cuba
Venezuela market icon
Venezuela
$3,426,104 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 25
Above 30
$10,470 vol
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
$1,027,326 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
$133,128 vol
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/22-8/28)
At least 5
At least 10
$7,427 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)
At least 30
At least 40
$95,456 vol
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Markwayne Mullin
$299,939 vol
Trump's approval rating on Aug 28, 2026?
39.4 to 39.6
39.7 to 39.9
$26,773 vol
Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
U.S.–Canada interim agreement
Formal USMCA amendment
$16,147 vol
Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?
$6,149 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)
August 22
August 23
$10,690 vol
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
$559,594 vol