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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$38,871,071 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2028
Before 2027
$10,048,987 vol
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
$2,100,088 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
Above 150
Above 175
$173,273 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
$1,312,030 vol
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
James Ho
Andrew Oldham
$1,210,988 vol
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
40.5 to 40.7
40.2 to 40.4
$211,387 vol
Donald Trump: World Cup matches attended
At least 1
At least 2
$559,699 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$14,431,072 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (7/5-7/11)
>220
200-220
$521,260 vol
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$1,945,850 vol
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
$18,594,622 vol
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
$1,938,090 vol
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
Before Jul 16, 2026
Before Jul 7, 2026
No
$659,577 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason
Kash Patel
$6,945,465 vol
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
$3,631,071 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
At least 50
At least 60
$108,607 vol
Which bills will become law in 2026?
DEFIANCE Act
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
$1,285,339 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$1,319,264 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$1,251,396 vol
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026?
0
1
$391,195 vol
Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
$762,629 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)
July 6
July 12
$14,905 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?
Jensen Huang
Delcy Rodriguez
$61,568 vol
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$12,833 vol
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
$806,258 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
$2,930,318 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,488,396 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$2,809,154 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$4,550,435 vol
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$1,540,570 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (6/28 - 7/4)
Above 0
Above 1
$89,313 vol