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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$18,014,399 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$185,256 vol
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$57,183 vol
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$29,772 vol
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
$8,546 vol
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
$32,788 vol
When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Nov 1, 2026
$917 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Germany market icon
Germany
Japan market icon
Japan
$879,323 vol
Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be removed from the royal line of succession?
$33,386 vol
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Comoros market icon
Comoros
Djibouti market icon
Djibouti
$695,200 vol
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Save the Children
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
$1,710,169 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
$287,274 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,646,513 vol
Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?
$25,125 vol
AfD in a German state government in 2026?
$449 vol
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
30% or above
20% or above
$6,271 vol
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$104,048 vol
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Italy
Japan
$197,088 vol
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
$49,485 vol
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
Uganda market icon
Uganda
Democratic Republic of the Congo market icon
Democratic Republic of the Congo
$157,377 vol
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$73,572 vol
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$419,168 vol
Will Ontario’s minimum wage increase take effect on October 1?
$420 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 31, 2028
$540,840 vol
EU loses a member before 2030?
$62,481 vol
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$37,378 vol
EU has a new member before 2030?
$16,598 vol
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
$1,175,696 vol
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Emmanuel Macron
Friedrich Merz
$26,664 vol
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
Israel
Portugal
$383,956 vol
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
Mexico
Qatar
$164,859 vol
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
Before Apr 6, 2028
Before Apr 6, 2027
$1,232 vol