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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Nov 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2027

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 290 market icon

Above 290

Above 300 market icon

Above 300

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 200 market icon

Above 200

Above 205 market icon

Above 205

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Gadi Eisenkot market icon

Gadi Eisenkot

Avigdor Lieberman market icon

Avigdor Lieberman

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Before Apr 1, 2027 market icon

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027 market icon

Before Feb 1, 2027

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029 market icon

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028 market icon

Before Jan 2028

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Belize market icon

Belize

Mauritania market icon

Mauritania

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190 market icon

Above 190

Above 195 market icon

Above 195

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Philippines market icon

Philippines

Jordan market icon

Jordan

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Israel market icon

Israel

North Korea market icon

North Korea

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Yair Lapid

Naftali Bennett

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?

Before 2028

Before 2027

When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 15, 2027

When will the Knesset elect a Speaker?

Before Jan 1, 2027 market icon

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 13, 2026 market icon

Before Nov 13, 2026

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Trump visit China?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

The Netherlands market icon

The Netherlands

Italy market icon

Italy

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Uganda market icon

Uganda

Democratic Republic of the Congo market icon

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Yair Golan

Yoram Cohen

2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms market icon

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

Melania Trump market icon

Melania Trump

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

EU loses a member before 2030?

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030 market icon

Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 2029 market icon

Before Jan 1, 2029

When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2029

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

Before Jan 1, 2029

Before Jul 1, 2028

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

OECD market icon

OECD

World Trade Organization market icon

World Trade Organization

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