Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Will Trump visit China?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2027

Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?

Before Aug 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)

When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Before December 1, 2026

Before November 1, 2026

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

Before 2028

Before 2027

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Cuba

Qatar

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2027

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

World Trade Organization

OECD

Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026?

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

Shell

ConocoPhillips

When will Canada raise tariffs on the US?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. in Sep 2026?

What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

10% or above

30% or above

When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Japan

Germany

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Lisa Cook departure announced?

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Emmanuel Macron

Friedrich Merz

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