Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 190

Above 195

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 290

Above 300

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Mar 1, 2027

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 190

Above 195

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Japan

Israel

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

China

New York City

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 290

Above 300

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

Yair Golan

Oded Forer

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Yair Lapid

Gadi Eisenkot

When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister?

Before Dec 19, 2026

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will Trump visit China?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya

How many MPs will vote for the no-confidence motion against Tusk in 2026?

At least 150

At least 190

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Venezuela

Mexico

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?

Before 2028

Before 2027

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?

Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?

Avigdor Lieberman

Naftali Bennett

When will the Knesset elect a Speaker?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Will France enact its 2027 budget in 2026?

Israel Katz departure announced?

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

30% or above

10% or above

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?

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