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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$21,539,698 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$925,430 vol
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Oct 9 @ 9:00 AM
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,867,713 vol
Lisa Cook departure announced?
$88,321 vol
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?
Japan market icon
Japan
Israel market icon
Israel
$914,885 vol
Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
$18,652 vol
Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume?
$35,629 vol
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$33,782 vol
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2027
$454,275 vol
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Turkey
$92,606 vol
When will Wales call a snap election?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$20,264 vol
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Djibouti market icon
Djibouti
Comoros market icon
Comoros
$725,277 vol
Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order in Sep 2026?
$5,863 vol
Will Trump visit Greenland?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$15,032 vol
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2028
Before 2029
$10,669 vol
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Emmanuel Macron
Friedrich Merz
$45,972 vol
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
$181,724 vol
Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
$27,794 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
$290,449 vol
Will Canada and the EU agree to expanded mobility rights?
$1,924 vol
Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?
Shell
ExxonMobil
$5,867 vol
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
20% or above
30% or above
$6,798 vol
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
$95,116 vol
Will China announce additional U.S. agricultural purchases in Sep 2026?
$4,207 vol
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
Brazil
Portugal
$412,948 vol
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
Qatar
Mexico
$170,232 vol
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
$1,206,051 vol
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
$238,286 vol
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
$138,279 vol
EU loses a member before 2030?
$63,392 vol
AfD in a German state government in 2026?
$5,512 vol