Prediction Markets

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2026

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 320

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 180

Above 190

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 200

Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Germany

Japan

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Argentina

Portugal

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 190

Above 200

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 290

Above 300

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Comoros

Mauritania

Will Trump visit China?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

Will China unban Bitcoin?

Before 2030

Before 2028

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

Before Jan 1, 2029

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada?

Before Jul 1, 2029

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

Before Feb 3, 2027

Before Dec 23, 2026

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Uganda

Democratic Republic of the Congo

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

AfD in a German state government in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

China

Alaska

When will Canada gain EU associate status?

Before 2028

Before 2029

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