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If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Mar 13, 2027, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes. The determinative question is whether the 3-milligram Total THC level qualifies as lawful hemp under federal controlled-substance law at 11:59 PM ET on the Resolution Date. FDA food-safety, labeling, or other regulation outside the Controlled Substances Act does not by itself affect resolution, and state law does not affect resolution. Total THC is measured under the federal statutory standard in effect at the relevant time: delta-9 THC plus 0.877 times THCA, plus any other THC isomers included in the applicable federal statutory measure. A legally effective federal regime that leaves or makes a beverage containing 3 milligrams of Total THC per Container lawful hemp may resolve the market Yes, including continuation of the pre-Section 781 hemp definition, enacted federal legislation, a final federal regulation carrying the force of law, or nationwide federal court relief blocking enforcement of Section 781 of Public Law 119-37. Proposed or unenacted legislation or rules, informal federal non-enforcement or enforcement discretion, state action, and court relief limited to particular plaintiffs, products, sellers, or districts do not qualify. Only statutes, regulations, and court orders issued and legally effective by 11:59 PM ET on the Resolution Date are considered. An instrument whose operative provisions take effect only after that time does not qualify. Later corrections, amendments, or court decisions do not change resolution, even if they purport to apply retroactively. If no qualifying condition is in effect at the snapshot, the market resolves No.

If, as of 11:59 PM ET on Mar 13, 2027, federal law treats a hemp-derived beverage intended for human ingestion containing 3 milligrams or more of Total THC per Container as lawful hemp excluded from the Controlled Substances Act definition of marihuana rather than as a Schedule I controlled substance, then the market resolves to Yes. The determinative question is whether the 3-milligram Total THC level qualifies as lawful hemp under federal controlled-substance law at 11:59 PM ET on the Resolution Date. FDA food-safety, labeling, or other regulation outside the Controlled Substances Act does not by itself affect resolution, and state law does not affect resolution. Total THC is measured under the federal statutory standard in effect at the relevant time: delta-9 THC plus 0.877 times THCA, plus any other THC isomers included in the applicable federal statutory measure. A legally effective federal regime that leaves or makes a beverage containing 3 milligrams of Total THC per Container lawful hemp may resolve the market Yes, including continuation of the pre-Section 781 hemp definition, enacted federal legislation, a final federal regulation carrying the force of law, or nationwide federal court relief blocking enforcement of Section 781 of Public Law 119-37. Proposed or unenacted legislation or rules, informal federal non-enforcement or enforcement discretion, state action, and court relief limited to particular plaintiffs, products, sellers, or districts do not qualify. Only statutes, regulations, and court orders issued and legally effective by 11:59 PM ET on the Resolution Date are considered. An instrument whose operative provisions take effect only after that time does not qualify. Later corrections, amendments, or court decisions do not change resolution, even if they purport to apply retroactively. If no qualifying condition is in effect at the snapshot, the market resolves No.

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Key stats

Expiry
Mar 14, 2027(119 days)
Interest
$44,494.76
Vol (24H)
$976.64→ 0.00%
Total
$31K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 14, 2027, 4:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.