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$100
$144
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About

If any federal or state court rules that the pied-à-terre surcharge on non-primary residences in New York City, enacted by New York State in May 2026, violates the U.S. Constitution or the New York State Constitution, in whole or in part in a case challenging the constitutionality of that surcharge before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The ruling must: Be issued by any federal or state court in a case challenging the constitutionality of that surcharge, meaning the pied-à-terre surcharge Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision Partial relief counts. A written ruling that the surcharge is unconstitutional only in part, or only as applied to one or more plaintiffs, qualifies. A qualifying ruling counts when issued, even if it is later stayed, vacated, or reversed. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: A ruling that rests only on statute, the city's rollout, tax notices, the supplemental tax roll, or a party's standing, without holding that the surcharge violates a constitution A finding only that plaintiffs are likely to succeed, or a temporary restraining order or preliminary injunction that does not itself hold the surcharge unconstitutional Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls

If any federal or state court rules that the pied-à-terre surcharge on non-primary residences in New York City, enacted by New York State in May 2026, violates the U.S. Constitution or the New York State Constitution, in whole or in part in a case challenging the constitutionality of that surcharge before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The ruling must: Be issued by any federal or state court in a case challenging the constitutionality of that surcharge, meaning the pied-à-terre surcharge Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision Partial relief counts. A written ruling that the surcharge is unconstitutional only in part, or only as applied to one or more plaintiffs, qualifies. A qualifying ruling counts when issued, even if it is later stayed, vacated, or reversed. The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: A ruling that rests only on statute, the city's rollout, tax notices, the supplemental tax roll, or a party's standing, without holding that the surcharge violates a constitution A finding only that plaintiffs are likely to succeed, or a temporary restraining order or preliminary injunction that does not itself hold the surcharge unconstitutional Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders Orders to show cause Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment For clarity: If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls

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Key stats

Expiry
Jan 1, 2028(417 days)
Interest
$30.00
Vol (24H)
$15.00→ 0.00%
Total
$15
Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2028, 4:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.