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If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Philadelphia, PA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Philadelphia, PA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Philadelphia, PA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Philadelphia, PA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Philadelphia, PA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Philadelphia, PA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Philadelphia, PA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Philadelphia, PA All Waymo vehicles in Philadelphia, PA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028

If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Philadelphia, PA before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Philadelphia, PA, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee. The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Philadelphia, PA may be limited to certain areas. Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time. Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Philadelphia, PA Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Philadelphia, PA limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Philadelphia, PA Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Philadelphia, PA Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public Examples that would resolve to No: Waymo only operates employee shuttles or closed testing in Philadelphia, PA Waymo only has an office or maintenance facility in Philadelphia, PA All Waymo vehicles in Philadelphia, PA have safety drivers Waymo is testing but not offering paid public rides Service requires being on a waitlist or having a special code Waymo announces plans to launch but hasn't started service by Jan 1, 2028

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Key stats

Expiry
Dec 31, 2027(424 days)
Interest
$4,545.52
Vol (24H)
$14.30→ 0.00%
Total
$3.4K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2027, 3:00 PM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.