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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$54,011,142 vol
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Jun 20 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1650 score
Jul 1 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
$390,544 vol
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
Jun 20 @ 4:00 AM
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$2,867,223 vol
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2035
Before 2029
$128,475 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
$137,914 vol
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
$414,163 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $5.27
Above $5.67
$150,788 vol
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,202,282 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
South Sudan
Tanzania
$88,957 vol
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
John Pardon
Yu Deng
$149,284 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,124,192 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$62,157 vol
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
$161,770 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$64,332 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
$525,152 vol
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before November
$42,690 vol
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
$121,688 vol
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
$626,937 vol
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$949,452 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Kenya
Burundi
$468,463 vol
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Jun 20 @ 4:00 AM
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
$403,581 vol
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
No
Above 4000
No
$1,176,323 vol
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
$450,366 vol