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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$51,265,647 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model in this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Jun 13 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
Jun 13 @ 4:00 AM
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before October
Before September
$373,094 vol
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 @ 4:00 AM
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
$95,880 vol
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$199,591 vol
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$2,764,186 vol
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,230,587 vol
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,171,003 vol
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?
Above $0.86
Above $1.06
$42,972 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
$79,930 vol
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August 17th
Before August
$92,493 vol
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
Dola
Jun 13 @ 4:00 AM
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
$406,934 vol
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$938,192 vol
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
$436,665 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Burundi
Kenya
$453,648 vol
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
$383,983 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,102,637 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
$163,189 vol
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?
At least 4,700
At least 4,800
$95,842 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
$94,447 vol
When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Before 2035
Before 2030
$62,328 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$58,733 vol
NVIDIA H200 Compute Price Up or Down by Jun 12, 2026?
$2,358 vol
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
$86,795 vol