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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$53,609,542 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI this week
Gemini
ChatGPT
Jun 20 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
Jun 20 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$354,458 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $5.87
Above $5.67
$143,099 vol
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$2,847,880 vol
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
Jul 1 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Pandemic in 2026?
$1,194,752 vol
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
$128,250 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Grok
$171,051 vol
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Jun 20 @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,120,038 vol
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
$448,385 vol
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
$387,876 vol
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?
Above $0.96
Above $1.16
$57,141 vol
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
$118,471 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
$521,712 vol
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$61,518 vol
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
No
Above 4000
No
$1,172,270 vol
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Arizona
Nevada
$15,754 vol
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
$1,243,381 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
$96,576 vol
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
$401,138 vol
Top AI model this month
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-fable-5
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$946,991 vol
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Jun 19, 2026?
$1,500 vol
Top Math AI this month
Gemini
Claude
$36,437 vol