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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-5-high
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 10
Above 13
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Total space launches in July
Above 13
Above 14
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
$60,554,940 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of July 27th
Alibaba
Moonshot
Jul 27 @ 7:08 PM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-5-max
claude-opus-5-high
Aug 3 @ 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $6.36
Above $6.46
$125,988 vol
How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Above 12
Above 13
Aug 31 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Gemini
ChatGPT
Jul 27 @ 4:00 PM
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before September
$56,462 vol
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Aug 16, 2026
$111,939 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$487,355 vol
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 13
Above 14
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
No
Above 6000
No
$1,403,737 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $5.45
Above $5.35
$48,089 vol
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $0.48
Above $0.63
$82,274 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$2,147,649 vol
Best AI in Aug 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$15,736 vol
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
$275,823 vol
Best Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top Math AI this month
ChatGPT
Kimi
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
$150,979 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
Kimi
Jul 27 @ 4:00 PM
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $2.71
Above $2.76
$73,609 vol
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
2
5
$57,741 vol
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
$661,346 vol
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
$3,248,464 vol
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Qwen
$907,991 vol
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$108,999 vol
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
$235,245 vol