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If, as of the end of Mar 15, 2027, a hemp-derived beverage enclosed in a 12-fluid-ounce container that contains exactly 3 milligrams of naturally produced delta-9 THC (and no other cannabinoids) is treated under federal law as lawful to sell, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying for this Contract evaluates the federal legal status of a beverage that: is enclosed for retail sale in a single sealed 12-fluid-ounce (355-milliliter) container; contains exactly 3 milligrams of tetrahydrocannabinol in that container, all of which is delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol naturally produced by, and derived directly from, a Cannabis sativa L. plant qualifying as hemp under 7 U.S.C. § 1639o as in effect on January 1, 2025, and none of which is synthesized or manufactured outside the plant; and contains no tetrahydrocannabinolic acid, no other cannabinoid of any kind, and no other substance listed in any schedule of the Controlled Substances Act. The market resolves to Yes if, as of the end of Mar 15, 2027, at least one of conditions (a) through (d) is satisfied: (a) Statutory and regulatory status: Under the federal statutes and federal regulations in legal effect, the beverage is not a controlled substance in any schedule of the Controlled Substances Act. (b) Judicial relief: One or more orders of a federal court of the United States are in full force and effect that bar the enforcement of the amendments made by Section 781 of Public Law 119-37, or of the CSA’s treatment of the beverage as a controlled substance, with respect to the entire class of products and with effect throughout the United States. (c) Funding prohibition: Enacted federal legislation prohibits the use of federal funds to implement, administer, carry out, or enforce the amendments made by Section 781, or the Controlled Substances Act, with respect to the retail sale of the beverage throughout the United States. (d) Express authorization: Enacted federal legislation expressly authorizes or makes lawful the retail sale, in interstate commerce, of the beverage. Only statutes, regulations, and court orders in legal effect as of the end of Mar 15, 2027 shall be considered. None of the following, standing alone, is sufficient to resolve to Yes: State, local, territorial, and tribal laws; Federal enforcement discretion, deprioritization policies, or non-binding agency guidance; Proposed rules; Federal court orders granting relief limited to particular parties, plaintiffs, products, sellers, or geographic areas; Funding prohibitions that have lapsed or expired; and Regulation of the beverage under any body of federal law other than the CSA (e.g., FDA food and beverage regulation).

If, as of the end of Mar 15, 2027, a hemp-derived beverage enclosed in a 12-fluid-ounce container that contains exactly 3 milligrams of naturally produced delta-9 THC (and no other cannabinoids) is treated under federal law as lawful to sell, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying for this Contract evaluates the federal legal status of a beverage that: is enclosed for retail sale in a single sealed 12-fluid-ounce (355-milliliter) container; contains exactly 3 milligrams of tetrahydrocannabinol in that container, all of which is delta-9 tetrahydrocannabinol naturally produced by, and derived directly from, a Cannabis sativa L. plant qualifying as hemp under 7 U.S.C. § 1639o as in effect on January 1, 2025, and none of which is synthesized or manufactured outside the plant; and contains no tetrahydrocannabinolic acid, no other cannabinoid of any kind, and no other substance listed in any schedule of the Controlled Substances Act. The market resolves to Yes if, as of the end of Mar 15, 2027, at least one of conditions (a) through (d) is satisfied: (a) Statutory and regulatory status: Under the federal statutes and federal regulations in legal effect, the beverage is not a controlled substance in any schedule of the Controlled Substances Act. (b) Judicial relief: One or more orders of a federal court of the United States are in full force and effect that bar the enforcement of the amendments made by Section 781 of Public Law 119-37, or of the CSA’s treatment of the beverage as a controlled substance, with respect to the entire class of products and with effect throughout the United States. (c) Funding prohibition: Enacted federal legislation prohibits the use of federal funds to implement, administer, carry out, or enforce the amendments made by Section 781, or the Controlled Substances Act, with respect to the retail sale of the beverage throughout the United States. (d) Express authorization: Enacted federal legislation expressly authorizes or makes lawful the retail sale, in interstate commerce, of the beverage. Only statutes, regulations, and court orders in legal effect as of the end of Mar 15, 2027 shall be considered. None of the following, standing alone, is sufficient to resolve to Yes: State, local, territorial, and tribal laws; Federal enforcement discretion, deprioritization policies, or non-binding agency guidance; Proposed rules; Federal court orders granting relief limited to particular parties, plaintiffs, products, sellers, or geographic areas; Funding prohibitions that have lapsed or expired; and Regulation of the beverage under any body of federal law other than the CSA (e.g., FDA food and beverage regulation).

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Key stats

Expiry
Mar 16, 2027(201 days)
Interest
$29,360.50
Vol (24H)
$13,588.65↗ 169.08%
Total
$35K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Mar 16, 2027, 3:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.