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If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area. Trump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff. A pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it. Examples: One proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes One proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes One warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes 40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No The following do NOT count: Separate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more Pardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff Pardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025 State pardons

If Trump issues a single pardon that names at least 25 Trump administration staff, or that covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area, before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if, during Trump's current Presidential term and before the deadline date, a single presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve names at least 25 Trump administration staff or covers Trump administration staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area. Trump administration staff refers to officials and employees of the executive branch (the Executive Office of the President, the executive departments, federal agencies, and the armed forces) who served at any time after Jan 20, 2025. Contractors and other non-employees are not Trump administration staff. A pardon covers staff as a group by role, agency, or policy area if it applies to everyone who held a role, worked at an agency, or worked on a policy, without naming each of them. The group must be defined by executive branch service. A single pardon is one proclamation, executive order, or warrant of clemency. A pardon counts even if no recipient has been charged with a crime, and even if a recipient rejects it. Examples: One proclamation pardoning all officers and employees of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement → resolves to Yes One proclamation pardoning all federal personnel for conduct relating to immigration enforcement → resolves to Yes One warrant naming 30 White House aides → resolves to Yes 40 separate warrants issued on the same day, each naming one aide → resolves to No The following do NOT count: Separate pardons that each name fewer than 25 staff, even if together they name more Pardons defined only by an offense or event and open to people regardless of executive branch service, unless the pardon names at least 25 Trump administration staff Pardons that cover only people whose executive branch service ended before Jan 20, 2025 State pardons

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Key stats

Expiry
Jan 1, 2028(426 days)
Interest
$5,424.04
Vol (24H)
$687.59↘ 89.58%
Total
$7.8K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2028, 3:00 PM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.