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If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement. Participating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement: Speaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event Appearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials Serving in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate) Hosting or co-hosting a fundraising event "Non-incumbent" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race. "Federal office" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States. "Elected" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority. If Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.

If the number of non-incumbent candidates endorsed by Elon Musk after Issuance who are elected to federal office in elections held before Nov 4, 2026 is at least 3, then the market resolves to Yes. This market counts the non-incumbent candidates who receive explicit public endorsements from Elon Musk after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026 and who are subsequently elected to federal office in the United States in elections occurring after Issuance (Jul 14, 2026) and before Nov 4, 2026. Special elections count if they occur before Nov 4, 2026. "Endorsed by Elon Musk" means an explicit statement of support posted by Elon Musk that unambiguously states he endorses, supports, or backs the specific candidate for the specific federal office. Retweets, likes, replies, or ambiguous statements do NOT constitute endorsements. Making any monetary contribution (including in-kind contributions) to a candidate's campaign, political action committee, or affiliated organization, as reported by any Source Agency, is also considered an endorsement. Participating in any of the following campaign activities for a candidate is considered an endorsement: Speaking at a campaign rally, fundraiser, or official campaign event Appearing in campaign advertisements or promotional materials Serving in an official campaign role (e.g., campaign chair, advisor, surrogate) Hosting or co-hosting a fundraising event "Non-incumbent" means a candidate who is not currently serving in the specific federal office they are seeking at the time of the election. A member of the House running for Senate is considered a non-incumbent for the Senate race. "Federal office" means only: United States Senator, United States Representative, President of the United States, or Vice President of the United States. "Elected" means the candidate has been officially certified as the winner by the relevant state election authority. If Musk endorses a candidate after they have already been elected, this does not count toward the total. If Musk withdraws an endorsement before the election occurs, and explicitly states he is withdrawing support, the candidate no longer counts as endorsed.

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Key stats

Expiry
Feb 1, 2027(79 days)
Interest
$20,213.42
Vol (24H)
$28.17
Total
$28K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 1, 2027, 3:00 PM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.