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About

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 5-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.

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Key stats

Expiry
Oct 30, 2026(27 days)
Interest
$25,150.18
Vol (24H)
$4,861.08
Total
$38K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 30, 2026, 7:30 PM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Any officer, employee, or contractor of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or any Federal Reserve Bank, including any individual with access to non-public monetary policy deliberations, FOMC materials, or open market operations data.
  • Any officer, employee, or contractor of the U.S. Department of the Treasury, including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, with access to non-public information regarding debt issuance calendars, auction sizes, refunding announcements, or other non-public Treasury financing decisions.
  • Any employee, officer, director, or contractor of a primary dealer designated by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, including any individual with access to non-public auction allocation data, dealer positioning, or advance knowledge of Treasury issuance changes.
  • Any employee, officer, director, or contractor of a credit rating agency (e.g., Moody's, S&P Global Ratings, Fitch Ratings) with access to non-public information regarding an anticipated sovereign credit rating action affecting the United States.
  • Any employee or contractor of the Congressional Budget Office, Joint Committee on Taxation, or congressional committee staff with access to non-public fiscal or debt-ceiling legislative information reasonably likely to materially affect Treasury yields.
  • Any employee, officer, director, or contractor of a central bank (foreign or domestic), sovereign wealth fund, or other institutional holder with access to non-public information regarding anticipated large-scale Treasury purchase or sale activity.
  • Any individual who has received non-public information regarding anticipated monetary policy actions, Treasury issuance decisions, credit rating actions, or fiscal policy developments from a person described above.
  • Immediate family members and known close associates of any individual described above.
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.