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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Above 12
Above 13
Aug 31 @ 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 150
Above 160
$1,135,114 vol
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$700,530 vol
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jul 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$70,315 vol
Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$10,588 vol
Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$10,003 vol
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before Mar 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
Before October 2027
Before July 2027
Jun 30 @ 4:00 AM
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2028
$5,841 vol
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
$14,388 vol
Will the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$254 vol
Will the FDA approve VERVE-102?
Before 2031
Before 2030
$3,346 vol
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
$104,886 vol