Politics Prediction Markets

Which companies will Commerce add to the Entity List?
$7,211 vol
Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal in 2026?
Yes
No
$4,222 vol
Will the US restrict access to Kimi in 2026?
Yes
No
$5,012 vol
Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?
Yes
No
$5,459 vol
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
$10,411 vol
Will the U.S. suspend or revoke any Nvidia H200 China license?
Yes
No
$153 vol
Comprehensive federal AI legislation in 2026?
Yes
No
$10,772 vol
Will Commerce restrict China's remote access to U.S. AI chips?
Yes
No
$0 vol
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
Yes
No
$7,108 vol
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
Yes
No
$21,234 vol
Will DeepSeek be removed from the US App Store in 2026?
Yes
No
$0 vol
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
Yes
No
$15,868 vol