When will chip export restrictions become U.S. law?Before Jul 1, 202775%Before Jan 1, 202759%$8,437 vol3 markets
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Before 202931%Before 203035%$10,411 vol3 markets
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?Before Jul 1, 202768%Before Jan 1, 202848%$16,464 vol3 markets
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?Before Jul 1, 202775%Before Apr 1, 202775%$7,241 vol4 markets
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?Before Jan 20, 202997%Before Jan 1, 202874%$1,061 vol3 markets
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?Before Jul 1, 202786%Before Jan 1, 202768%$4,836 vol3 markets
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?Before Jan 1, 202997%Before Jan 1, 202896%$2,525 vol3 markets
When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?Before Jan 1, 202897%Before Jul 1, 2027$2,440 vol3 markets
When will serious AI-incident reporting become U.S. law?Before Jan 1, 202897%Before Jul 1, 202783%$2,100 vol3 markets
When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?Before Jul 1, 202788%Before Jan 1, 202896%$5,873 vol3 markets
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?Before Apr 1, 202775%Before Jan 1, 202729%$4,989 volView details
Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers?Before Jan 1, 2027Before Apr 1, 2027$127 volView details
Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?Before Jul 1, 202765%Before Jan 1, 202729%$12,669 vol3 markets
When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?Before Jan 1, 202874%Before Jul 1, 202712%$1,250 vol3 markets
Will the US create a national AI regulator?Before Jan 1, 202894%Before Jul 1, 202797%$3,217 vol3 markets