Make your prediction
Buy inPayout
$100
$526
Buy prediction

About

If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Qualifying payments require: At least $100 issued to each of at least 1,000,000 actual recipients under the same program. Payments to the same person may be combined. Checks dispatched, electronic transfers released, or equivalent spendable monetary payments issued. Recipients need not cash their checks. The following do NOT qualify: Announcements, authorizations, planned payments, or counts of eligible people without actual issuance. Routine federal benefits or ordinary tax refunds; ACA or other healthcare reimbursement rebates; importer tariff refunds; child Trump Account deposits; private gifts; stock dividends; or non-monetary distributions. Changes to the program name, payment amount, eligibility, funding source, spending restrictions, or political conditions do not disqualify a program that meets these requirements.

If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Qualifying payments require: At least $100 issued to each of at least 1,000,000 actual recipients under the same program. Payments to the same person may be combined. Checks dispatched, electronic transfers released, or equivalent spendable monetary payments issued. Recipients need not cash their checks. The following do NOT qualify: Announcements, authorizations, planned payments, or counts of eligible people without actual issuance. Routine federal benefits or ordinary tax refunds; ACA or other healthcare reimbursement rebates; importer tariff refunds; child Trump Account deposits; private gifts; stock dividends; or non-monetary distributions. Changes to the program name, payment amount, eligibility, funding source, spending restrictions, or political conditions do not disqualify a program that meets these requirements.

Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading
Loading

Key stats

Expiry
Apr 1, 2027(173 days)
Interest
$56,752.98
Vol (24H)
$969.83→ 0.00%
Total
$137K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 1, 2027, 3:59 AM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Trending markets

A new era of Coinbase has begun

The future of money is here. Be one of the first to get access and try new features the moment they’re available.

Create an account now
FAQs

Discover more

Legal
Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.