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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
54.879.954 $ Volumen
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 14
Above 15
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Gemini
Qwen
20. Juni um 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
450.477 $ Volumen
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
20. Juni um 4:00 AM
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1650 score
1. Juli um 4:00 AM
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
157.464 $ Volumen
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
416.118 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $5.07
Above $5.27
167.437 $ Volumen
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jun 30, 2026
Before Jun 26, 2026
8.213 $ Volumen
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
2.876.411 $ Volumen
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
72.028 $ Volumen
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
422.623 $ Volumen
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Nein
Above 6000
Nein
1.182.620 $ Volumen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Kenya
Burundi
472.880 $ Volumen
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
127.057 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
1.128.309 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
69.412 $ Volumen
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
529.617 $ Volumen
Pandemic in 2026?
1.212.455 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
Dola
20. Juni um 4:00 AM
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
1.249.265 $ Volumen
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
142.858 $ Volumen
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
393.658 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute in Q2?
Above $1.94
Above $1.44
22.190 $ Volumen
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
630.755 $ Volumen
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
John Pardon
150.854 $ Volumen
Top AI model this month
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
30. Juni um 4:00 AM