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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
54.288.510 $ Volumen
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Best AI this week
Claude
Gemini
20. Juni um 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
424.269 $ Volumen
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1650 score
1. Juli um 4:00 AM
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
151.818 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
20. Juni um 4:00 AM
Pandemic in 2026?
1.210.670 $ Volumen
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
422.238 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?
Above $0.76
Above $0.86
65.733 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $5.27
Above $5.87
157.921 $ Volumen
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
409.920 $ Volumen
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
126.267 $ Volumen
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
2.871.527 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
1.128.110 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
65.811 $ Volumen
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
89.686 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jun 26, 2026
Before Jun 19, 2026
3.585 $ Volumen
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Nein
Above 6000
Nein
1.179.603 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
Kimi
20. Juni um 4:00 AM
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
1.248.282 $ Volumen
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
392.430 $ Volumen
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
Tanzania
Burundi
91.695 $ Volumen
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
629.613 $ Volumen
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
142.685 $ Volumen
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
66.643 $ Volumen
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
527.328 $ Volumen
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
453.696 $ Volumen