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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
58.367.970 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jul 3, 2026
Before Jun 26, 2026
468.344 $ Volumen
Best AI this week (June 29)
Gemini
ChatGPT
29. Juni um 4:00 AM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jun 30, 2026?
Above $4.39
Above $4.79
200.520 $ Volumen
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $6.27
Above $6.47
295.629 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1675 score
At least 1550 score
1. Juli um 4:00 AM
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
3.007.983 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?
Above $1.36
Above $1.56
33.389 $ Volumen
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
1.297.862 $ Volumen
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before 2027
Before October
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
448.008 $ Volumen
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Top AI model this week (June 29)
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
29. Juni um 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.19
Above $5.79
14.898 $ Volumen
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Yu Deng
John Pardon
177.160 $ Volumen
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Qwen
693.001 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
92.830 $ Volumen
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Before 2035
Before 2032
16.969 $ Volumen
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August 17th
Before August
153.393 $ Volumen
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?
At least 4,800
At least 4,900
105.975 $ Volumen
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
Republic of the Congo
South Sudan
108.703 $ Volumen
Top Math AI this month
Gemini
Claude
44.149 $ Volumen
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
287.700 $ Volumen
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
Nein
Above 4000
Nein
1.209.435 $ Volumen
Top AI model this month
claude-fable-5
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
489.734 $ Volumen
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
651.919 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $3.53
Above $3.38
3.900 $ Volumen