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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
56.363.665 $ Volumen
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jun 30, 2026
Before Jun 26, 2026
195.174 $ Volumen
Best AI this week (June 29)
Claude
ChatGPT
29. Juni um 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $6.07
Above $5.07
281.603 $ Volumen
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
632.154 $ Volumen
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1675 score
1. Juli um 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
2.946.866 $ Volumen
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
1.283.190 $ Volumen
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
438.816 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
88.903 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?
Above $1.26
Above $1.06
103.685 $ Volumen
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
502.403 $ Volumen
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
644.882 $ Volumen
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
437.651 $ Volumen
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
967.454 $ Volumen
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Nein
Above 6000
Nein
1.196.708 $ Volumen
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
85.656 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $4.29
Above $4.59
14.214 $ Volumen
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
27.053 $ Volumen
Pandemic in 2026?
1.235.621 $ Volumen
Top AI model this week (June 29)
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
29. Juni um 4:00 AM
Top AI model this month
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
30. Juni um 4:00 AM
US test scores in Reading in 2026?
Significant decrease
No significant difference
102.238 $ Volumen
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
418.707 $ Volumen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Kenya
Burundi
486.559 $ Volumen
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
South Sudan
Kenya
101.136 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute in Q2?
Above $2.33
Above $2.73
16.125 $ Volumen