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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
58.298.781 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Claude
13. Juli um 4:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
13. Juli um 4:00 PM
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
716.580 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $7.67
Above $7.97
104.001 $ Volumen
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
20. Juli um 4:00 AM
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 16, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
77.801 $ Volumen
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Tablet
Clip-on device for clothing
231.023 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
266.644 $ Volumen
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August 17th
Before July 17th
365.823 $ Volumen
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Nein
Above 6000
Nein
1.297.546 $ Volumen
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
3.131.822 $ Volumen
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Rwanda
571.070 $ Volumen
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 2
222.451 $ Volumen
Pandemic in 2026?
1.304.784 $ Volumen
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
81.845 $ Volumen
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
Will Sawin
Sam Raskin
274.333 $ Volumen
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1495
above 1510
30.230 $ Volumen
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.19
Above $5.49
51.273 $ Volumen
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
1.363.487 $ Volumen
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Aug 31, 2026
19.412 $ Volumen
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
989.847 $ Volumen
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.903.657 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $1.54
Above $1.84
16.736 $ Volumen
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before September
86.273 $ Volumen
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
577.569 $ Volumen
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM