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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
55.002.535 $ Volumen
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
6. Juli um 4:00 AM
Top AI model this week
claude-fable-5
claude-opus-4-6
6. Juli um 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
189.463 $ Volumen
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 12
Above 13
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jul 10, 2026
Before Jul 8, 2026
9. Juli um 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Dola
6. Juli um 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
Before March 2027
Before February 2027
15.295 $ Volumen
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before November
Before September
68.360 $ Volumen
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
121.529 $ Volumen
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August 17th
Before August
153.972 $ Volumen
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
Nein
Above 6000
Nein
1.241.799 $ Volumen
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
3.094.433 $ Volumen
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
538.356 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.19
Above $5.79
31.231 $ Volumen
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 17, 2026
11.206 $ Volumen
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 9k
Above 10k
17.099 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $3.45
Above $3.55
10.138 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
82.521 $ Volumen
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.818.440 $ Volumen
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 14
Above 15
31. Juli um 4:00 AM
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
180.759 $ Volumen
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
95.056 $ Volumen
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
1.326.460 $ Volumen
GPT 5.6 debut arena score
above 1505
above 1520
9. Juli um 4:00 AM
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before 2027
Before November
78.268 $ Volumen
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
556.658 $ Volumen