Prediction Markets

When will Google release Gemini 4?

Before Nov 15, 2026

Before Oct 16, 2026

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

Best AI this week

Gemini

Claude

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Gemini

Claude

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 24.4%

Above 24.7%

OpenAI market share this week

Above 19.5%

Above 20.5%

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

Google

Google market share this week

Above 18.0%

Above 18.5%

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th

Xiaomi

Alibaba

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Nov 13, 2026

Before Nov 6, 2026

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Meta

OpenAI

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Claude

Gemini

Anthropic market share this week

Above 3.7%

Above 4.5%

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Tampa, FL

Yes

Las Vegas, NV

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

Meta

Top Coding AI this week

Claude

Dola

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1540 score

At least 1550 score

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

Before 2028

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 25.6%

Above 24.9%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 14, 2026

Above 56.2%

Above 63.0%

Top Chinese AI company this month

Xiaomi

Alibaba

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th

Alibaba

Moonshot

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Before 2027

Before December

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 16, 2026

Above 61.6%

Above 65.5%

Top Text to Image AI this week

OpenAI

Google

Sports

Crypto

Elections

Politics

Entertainment

Mentions

Commodities

Economics

Financials

Weather

Science and Technology

Companies

Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Trending

Sports

Crypto

Elections

Politics

Entertainment

Mentions

Commodities

Economics

Financials

Weather

Science and Technology

Companies

Social

Science and Technology Prediction Markets