Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
OpenAI market share this week
Above 19%
Above 20%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Claude
Qwen
$257,719 vol
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 25%
Above 27%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 17–23
Above 85T tokens
Above 88T tokens
$15,564 vol
Top Open Source AI this week
Kimi
GLM
Aug 28 @ 4:00 AM
Top AI model in August
claude-opus-5-high
claude-opus-5-max
Aug 31 @ 4:00 AM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$167,725 vol
Qwen market share this week
Above 5.3%
Above 5.8%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,760,049 vol
Tencent market share this week
Above 2.5%
Above 4.5%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
Gemini market share this week
Above 22%
Above 25%
Aug 23 @ 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $2.71
Above $2.76
$62,547 vol
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-5-high
claude-opus-5-max
Aug 24 @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.7?
Before Sep 4, 2026
Before Aug 31, 2026
$46,978 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$734,815 vol
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
Claude
ChatGPT
Aug 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company week of August 17th
Alibaba
DeepSeek
$108,757 vol
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
Kimi
$11,268 vol
Top Text to Speech AI this week
Cartesia
Alibaba
Aug 28 @ 4:00 AM
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Aug 28, 2026?
$2,002 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
$181,761 vol
Top Text to Video AI this week
Google
ByteDance
Aug 28 @ 4:00 AM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
$651,720 vol
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $1.46
Above $1.61
$9,987 vol
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Aug 21, 2026
No
$329,480 vol
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
$57,655 vol
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$699,112 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Aug 31, 2026?
Above $6.21
Above $6.81
$20,484 vol