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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
Jul 13 @ 4:00 PM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Gemini
$707,263 vol
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Claude
Jul 13 @ 4:00 PM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6
Jul 20 @ 4:00 AM
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 24, 2026
$64,882 vol
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$260,504 vol
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
Jul 31 @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
Dec 31 @ 1:00 PM
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
$202,429 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $5.49
Above $5.19
$49,841 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
$125,865 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
$576,339 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $7.67
Above $7.37
$82,272 vol
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
$16,879 vol
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $2.61
Above $2.56
$5,094 vol
NVIDIA B200 Compute Price Up or Down by Jul 17, 2026?
$1,828 vol
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $0.53
Above $0.83
$22,034 vol
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
$187,025 vol
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
$1,177,921 vol
When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
$77,791 vol
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
$26,881 vol
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Jul 17, 2026?
$1,704 vol
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Detroit, MI
Sacramento, CA
$96,534 vol
NVIDIA A100 SXM4 Compute Price Up or Down by Jul 17, 2026?
$900 vol
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
$21,537 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Jul 31, 2026?
Above $5.26
Above $4.76
$23,549 vol
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,902,643 vol
Tesla Optimus released this year?
$649,649 vol
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
$135,325 vol