Prediction Markets

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?

How low will gas prices in New York get this year?

Below $2.90

Below $2.80

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)

How high will gas prices in New York get this year?

Above $4.80

Above $5.40

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Above 170 million

Above 180 million

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?

Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 2029

What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

At least 56%

At least 64%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?

Above 15,000

Above 20,000

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Above 16,000

Above 10,000

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

At least 8.3 mph

At least 8 mph

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

At least 1

At least 2

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Above 350 days

Above 275 days

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?

Above 34,250

Above 34,500

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

Above 41,000

Above 26,000

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Above 90,000

Above 92,000

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Increase 0.01-0.99%

Decrease 0-0.99%

Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?

NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?

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