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Politics Prediction Markets

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
Above 170 million
Above 175 million
$17,865 vol
Who will AOC endorse?
Claire Valdez
Brad Lander
$70,391 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/18 - 10/24)
$34,421 vol
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
$154,610 vol
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 10,000
Above 8,000
$2,405 vol
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?
$191,731 vol
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?
Above $4.80
Above $5.00
Dec 31 @ 3:00 PM
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
Before 2030
Before 2029
$214,276 vol
How low will gas prices in New York get this year?
Below $2.70 market icon
Below $2.70
Below $2.80 market icon
Below $2.80
Dec 31 @ 3:00 PM
Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair?
$4,998 vol
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
$5,133 vol
Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
$37,216 vol
When will Mamdani visit the White House?
Before Mar 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$4,158 vol
How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?
Above 15,000
Above 20,000
$13 vol
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
Above $600 million
Above $800 million
$2,235 vol
What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
At least 8.3 mph
At least 8 mph
$410 vol
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 1
At least 2
$0 vol
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
Above 350 days
Above 275 days
$415 vol
NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
Above 34,250
Above 35,000
$855 vol
How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
Above 23,000
Above 26,000
$58 vol
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
Above 90,000
Above 92,000
$900 vol
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
$86,953 vol
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
Increase 0.01-0.99% market icon
Increase 0.01-0.99%
No change or decrease 0–0.99% market icon
No change or decrease 0–0.99%
$178,132 vol
NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?
$26 vol
Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$9,759 vol