Prediction Markets

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Above 10,000

Above 8,000

Who will AOC endorse?

Brad Lander

Ilhan Omar

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Before 2030

Before 2029

How high will gas prices in New York get this year?

Above $4.80

Above $5.00

How low will gas prices in New York get this year?

Below $2.70

Below $2.80

Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas's election as Brooklyn Dem chair?

Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?

Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 2029

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Before Mar 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?

Above 15,000

Above 20,000

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?

Above $600 million

Above $800 million

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

At least 8.3 mph

At least 8 mph

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Above 170 million

Above 180 million

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

At least 1

At least 2

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Above 350 days

Above 275 days

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?

Above 34,250

Above 35,000

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

Above 23,000

Above 26,000

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Above 90,000

Above 92,000

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Increase 0.01-0.99%

No change or decrease 0–0.99%

NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?

Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

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