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Politics Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 25
Above 30
$508,807 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 5
Above 6
$218,621 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$4,190,024 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 190
Above 200
$120,405 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$6,724,575 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
$800,997 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 190
Above 210
$114,305 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 290
Above 300
$32,215 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)
October 5
October 7
$126,170 vol
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
$639,595 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
At least 8
At least 10
$9,627 vol
When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$31,163 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
$466,124 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 30
Above 40
$384,284 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
October 12
October 13
$0 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Above 10
Above 12
$0 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Above 10
Above 100
$0 vol
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
$2,098,583 vol