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Politics Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)
Above 35
Above 40
$195,304 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$9,554,577 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 30
Above 35
$18,002 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 10
Above 15
$27,034 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 40
Above 50
$198,287 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)
August 22
August 23
$15,613 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)
At least 70
At least 40
$99,422 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$3,182,809 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)
Above 290
Above 300
$9,540 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
$625,905 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 175
Above 200
$1,085 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)
Above 175
Above 200
$11,754 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 200
Above 225
$2,998 vol
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
$2,010,339 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)
Above 200
Above 225
$3,133 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2027
Before September 2026
$580,932 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/24 - 8/30)
August 24
August 25
$0 vol
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
$593,424 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)
Above 260
Above 270
$0 vol