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Politics Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 22
Above 25
$490,552 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 5
Above 6
$215,914 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$6,719,881 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$4,181,503 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
$800,997 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 190
Above 200
$114,241 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 280
Above 290
$31,755 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
Above 190
Above 200
$120,289 vol
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)
October 5
October 7
$125,142 vol
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
At least 8
At least 10
$9,587 vol
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
$639,479 vol
When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$31,073 vol
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
$466,124 vol
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
$2,098,583 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 30
Above 40
$384,284 vol