Prediction Markets

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q3

Above 21%

Above 24%

American Express cards-in-force in Q3

Above 155.5 million

Above 156 million

Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Unusual Machines

Anduril

The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3

Above 8.5%

Above 9%

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Anthropic

Discord

American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3

Above 84%

Above 84.5%

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Before April 2027

Before March 2027

Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q3

Above 40.2 million

Above 40.3 million

CAVA total restaurants in Q3

Above 496

Above 506

Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3

Above 83%

Above 83.5%

Amazon headcount in Q3

Above 1.62 million

Above 1.64 million

Southwest Airlines seats flown in Q3

Above 57 million

Above 57.5 million

Neptune Insurance policies in force in Q3

Above 335000

Above 340000

Who will be the next CEO of Goldman Sachs?

John Waldron

Kim Posnett

Lemonade total customers in Q3

Above 3.52 million

Above 3.54 million

Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3

Above 4260

Above 4270

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs

Morgan Stanley

Google headcount in Q3

Above 204 thousand

Above 205 thousand

United Airlines passengers in Q3

Above 50.25 million

Above 50.5 million

Lyft total rides in Q3

Above 268 million

Above 270 million

Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3

Above 3.2 billion

Above 3.3 billion

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

Above 350,000

Above 475,000

Venture Global LNG volumes in Q3

Above 460 tbtu

Above 480 tbtu

Meta headcount in Q3

Above 69 thousand

Above 70 thousand

Altria Group cigarette shipments in Q3

Above 15 billion

Above 15.25 billion

Roblox hours engaged in Q3

Above 34 billion

Above 35 billion

Will SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?

Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3

Above 215000

Above 220000

Wingstop domestic same store sales growth in Q3

Above -4%

Above -2%

How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?

Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

Above 20 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter

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