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If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes. The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title. If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs. An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (Economy and cost of living); Iran, war, foreign policy, national security or terrorism (Iran war and foreign policy); immigration, border or deportation (Immigration); democracy (Democracy); health care or healthcare (Health care); abortion (Abortion); and crime or public safety (Crime). An answer choice containing terms listed for more than one strike maps only to the strike whose term appears first in it. Any other answer choice, including gun policy, maps to no strike and is compared on its own percentage. If such an answer choice has a higher percentage than every strike's value, every market resolves No. If the highest value or percentage is tied, N is the number of tied strikes plus any tied answer choice that maps to no strike; each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value. For example, if "Inflation" receives 25%, "Tariffs" receives 10% and "Democracy" receives 30%, Economy and cost of living has a value of 35% and resolves Yes, and Democracy resolves No. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes. The issue voters rank most important is the strike with the highest value, where a strike's value is the sum of the percentages of all voters for every answer choice that maps to it on the national U.S. House exit poll's most-important-issue question as displayed by the source, whatever its exact title. If more than one such question is displayed, the one asking which issue mattered most to the respondent's vote governs. An answer choice maps to a strike only if its wording contains, as a whole word or phrase and ignoring capitalization and singular or plural form, one of the terms listed for that strike: economy, economic, inflation, price, cost, cost of living, affordability, affordable, job, tax, tariff or trade (Economy and cost of living); Iran, war, foreign policy, national security or terrorism (Iran war and foreign policy); immigration, border or deportation (Immigration); democracy (Democracy); health care or healthcare (Health care); abortion (Abortion); and crime or public safety (Crime). An answer choice containing terms listed for more than one strike maps only to the strike whose term appears first in it. Any other answer choice, including gun policy, maps to no strike and is compared on its own percentage. If such an answer choice has a higher percentage than every strike's value, every market resolves No. If the highest value or percentage is tied, N is the number of tied strikes plus any tied answer choice that maps to no strike; each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value. For example, if "Inflation" receives 25%, "Tariffs" receives 10% and "Democracy" receives 30%, Economy and cost of living has a value of 35% and resolves Yes, and Democracy resolves No. The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026. If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time. If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.

No volume detected, be the first!

Key stats

Expiry
Nov 6, 2026(42 days)
Interest
$70,531.60
Vol (24H)
$41,956.80→ 0.00%
Total
$84K

Details

Timeline & rules

Timeline & payout

This market will close and expire when an outcome occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 6, 2026, 4:59 PM GMT+0.

Trading prohibitions

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
  • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
  • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
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Prediction markets are offered by Coinbase Financial Markets, a registered futures commission merchant with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and a Member of the National Futures Association. Trading prediction contracts involve substantial risk and may result in the loss of your entire investment. Contracts pay out only if the specified event occurs. Trade only if you understand the product and believe it is appropriate for your financial situation and objectives.Certain content has been prepared by third parties not affiliated with Coinbase Financial Markets or any of its affiliates and Coinbase is not responsible for such content. Coinbase is not liable for any errors or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance on any content. Information is provided for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell a particular digital asset or to employ a particular investment strategy. Coinbase makes no representation on the accuracy, suitability, or validity of any information provided or for a particular asset. Prices shown are for illustrative purposes only. Actual cryptocurrency prices and associated stats may vary. Data presented may reflect assets traded on Coinbase’s exchange and select other cryptocurrency exchanges. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.