Prediction Markets

Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?

Helena Foulkes

Dan McKee

NH-01 Democratic nominee?

Maura Sullivan

Stefany Shaheen

Rhode Island Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee?

Sabina Matos

Xay Khamsyvoravong

New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?

Chris Pappas

Karishma Manzur

MA-01 Democratic primary: Richard Neal vote percent

At least 45%

At least 55%

MA-08 Democratic primary: Stephen Lynch vote percent

At least 55%

At least 58%

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Karishma Manzur vote percent

At least 35%

At least 40%

NH-01 Republican nominee?

Anthony DiLorenzo

Hollie Noveletsky

RI-02 Republican nominee?

Stephen Skoly

Victor Mellor

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)

Ed Markey, ≥10%

Ed Markey, ≥30%

How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

0

2

NH-02 Democratic nominee?

Maggie Goodlander

Chris Tardif

NH-02 Republican nominee?

Lily Tang Williams

Victor Orlando

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)

Chris Pappas, ≥25%

Chris Pappas, ≥20%

Rhode Island Democratic Senate nominee?

Jack Reed

Connor Burbridge

New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Chris Pappas vote percent

At least 60%

At least 65%

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

5

7 or more

MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)

Stephen Lynch, ≥10%

Stephen Lynch, ≥12%

CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?

Luke Bronin, 20-25%

John Larson, 0-5%

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Seth Moulton vote percent

At least 25%

At least 35%

Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?

Marsha Blackburn, ≥3%

Marsha Blackburn, ≥6%

MA-08 Democratic primary: Patrick Roath vote percent

At least 33%

At least 36%

New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Chuck Schumer

New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?

Dan Innis

Chris Sununu

LA-01 Republican nominee?

Steve Scalise

Randall Arrington

Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?

Elaine Pelino

Aaron Guckian

Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary: Ed Markey vote percent

At least 45%

At least 50%

New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?

Deaglan McEachern

Jon Kiper

New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

John Sununu, ≥30%

John Sununu, ≥40%

Delaware Republican Senate nominee?

Michael Katz

John Shulli

MA-01 Democratic primary: Jeromie Whalen vote percent

At least 25%

At least 45%

LA-03 Democratic nominee?

John Day

Caleb Walker

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