Prediction Markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 52

52

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

230-233

234-237

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 6 to 8%

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Iowa

Kansas

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Georgia

Nevada

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win

Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Republicans

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win

Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Midterms: Blue trickle?

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Republicans sweep

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win

Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

Bo French & Ken Paxton

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republican sweep

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Above 235

Above 238

How many House seats will Democrats win in Iowa?

Above 2

2

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win

Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win

Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?

Pennsylvania

Nevada

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win

Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Ashley Moody win

How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?

Exactly 0

Exactly 1

How many House seats will Democrats win in New Jersey?

10

Above 10

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

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