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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Philadelphia, PA
520.953 $ Volumen
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
30. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Tencent market share this week
Above 4.9%
Above 5.9%
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.75%
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
817.044 $ Volumen
OpenAI market share this week
Above 22.4%
Above 23.5%
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 21.9%
Above 22.6%
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Most popular AI this week
Tencent
OpenAI
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 19.1%
Above 19.35%
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Claude
Gemini
7. Sept. um 4:00 PM
Qwen market share this week
Above 5.7%
Above 5.75%
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
1.511.023 $ Volumen
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
34.376 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
30. Sept. um 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Oct 16, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
74.456 $ Volumen
Tesla Optimus released this year?
744.653 $ Volumen
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
256.892 $ Volumen
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
Alibaba
Moonshot
95.596 $ Volumen
OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
Above 122T tokens
Above 138T tokens
13. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Top Text to Image AI this week
OpenAI
Google
11. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Alibaba
Moonshot
7. Sept. um 2:00 PM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.591.641 $ Volumen
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
712.075 $ Volumen
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 15, 2026
46.920 $ Volumen
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
259.526 $ Volumen
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
326.409 $ Volumen
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
74.816 $ Volumen
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $6.39
Above $6.69
56.605 $ Volumen
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
266.371 $ Volumen
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 70%
At least 60%
64.562 $ Volumen