Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Gemini

Claude

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score

At least 1600 score

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026

Above 52.6%

Above 69.4%

Google market share this week

Above 17.3%

Above 18.4%

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 27.0%

Above 28.9%

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Gemini

Claude

OpenAI market share this week

Above 17.3%

Above 19.2%

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Gemini

Claude

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Dec 31, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Best AI this week

Gemini

Claude

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Las Vegas, NV

Detroit, MI

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)

Above 60%

Above 70%

Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2nd

Xiaomi

DeepSeek

Anthropic market share this week

Above 5.5%

Above 5.4%

OpenRouter AI token usage in November

Above 850T tokens

Above 925T tokens

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026

Above 56.1%

Above 73.8%

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

Alibaba

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Top Coding AI this week

Claude

MiniMax

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2027

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 32.5%

Above 35.9%

Open source token share Oct 26–Nov 1 (OpenRouter)

Above 70.7%

Above 72.3%

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1

Above 185T tokens

Above 190T tokens

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

ChatGPT

Kimi

Top Open Source AI this week

Xiaomi

DeepSeek

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

At least 60%

At least 65%

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Clip-on device for clothing

Earbuds/Headphones

Sport

Krypto

Wahlen

Politik

Unterhaltung

Erwähnungen

Rohstoffe

Wirtschaft

Finanzwesen

Wetter

Wissenschaft und Technologie

Unternehmen

Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Im Trend

Sport

Krypto

Wahlen

Politik

Unterhaltung

Erwähnungen

Rohstoffe

Wirtschaft

Finanzwesen

Wetter

Wissenschaft und Technologie

Unternehmen

Social Media

Science and Technology Prediction Markets