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Science and Technology Prediction Markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Pittsburgh, PA
501.222 $ Volumen
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
654.156 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Sep 16, 2026
1.065.569 $ Volumen
OpenAI market share this week
Above 16.5%
Above 19.5%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6
Above 104T tokens
Above 118T tokens
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Qwen market share this week
Above 5%
Above 4.9%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Google market share this week
Above 21.5%
Above 22%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Most popular AI this week
Xiaomi
Z.ai
42.881 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
30. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 2.6%
Above 2.4%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
239.965 $ Volumen
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 23.5%
Above 26.5%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
30. Sept. um 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
1.449.379 $ Volumen
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.8%
Above 3.0%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.585.216 $ Volumen
When will OpenAI release Astra?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
443.071 $ Volumen
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
30. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31. Dez. um 1:00 PM
Tencent market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 3.2%
6. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
699.699 $ Volumen
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
317.445 $ Volumen
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
30. Sept. um 4:00 AM
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1500
above 1490
78.006 $ Volumen
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
Alibaba
Moonshot
31. Aug. um 2:00 PM
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Nov 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
42.249 $ Volumen
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 60%
At least 65%
63.150 $ Volumen
Top Text to Video AI this week
Alibaba
Google
11. Sept. um 4:00 AM
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
70.497 $ Volumen
Top Text to Speech AI this week
Cartesia
Alibaba
11. Sept. um 4:00 AM
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
Above 450T tokens
Above 475T tokens
27. Sept. um 4:00 AM