Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 300

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

Above 200

Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 170

Above 190

Ed Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 2029

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Apr 1, 2027

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Japan

Germany

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Argentina

Portugal

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?

Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Pablo Hernández de Cos

Klaas Knot

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Switzerland

Qatar

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

EU loses a member before 2030?

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?

20% or above

30% or above

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jan 31, 2028

Before Jun 1, 2027

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Emmanuel Macron

Friedrich Merz

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

AfD in a German state government?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Which companies will sign a Venezuelan oil agreement?

Shell

ExxonMobil

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Comoros

Mauritania

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

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