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Economics Prediction Markets

Fed decision in Jul 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
29. Juli um 5:00 PM
Next Fed rate hike?
Before July 2027
Before 2027
3.169.869 $ Volumen
Fed rate cut before 2027?
1. Jan. um 3:00 AM
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 1 cut
1. Jan. um 3:00 AM
Fed decision in Sep 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
16. Sept. um 5:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
Above 2.75%
Above 3.75%
29. Juli um 5:00 PM
How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting?
0
1
29. Juli um 5:00 PM
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
1. Jan. um 3:00 PM
Who will dissent at the July Fed meeting?
Lorie Logan
Beth Hammack
29. Juli um 5:00 PM
July 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents
Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: >0
Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: 0
29. Juli um 5:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
Above 3.50%
Above 3.75%
16. Sept. um 5:00 PM
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
28. Okt. um 5:00 PM
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
0 cuts
1 cuts
1. Jan. um 3:00 AM
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
Above 3.75%
Above 3.50%
27. Jan. um 6:00 PM
S&P 500 move on July FOMC day?
At least 0.75%
At least 1.00%
29. Juli um 7:00 PM
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
1. Jan. um 3:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Above 3.75%
Above 4.00%
9. Dez. um 6:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
Above 3.75%
Above 4.00%
28. Okt. um 5:00 PM
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
1. Jan. um 3:00 AM
2-year Treasury yield move on July FOMC day?
At least 10bps
At least 12bps
29. Juli um 7:00 PM
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026
Above $6.7 trillion
Above $6.8 trillion
31. Dez. um 9:00 PM
SOFR at end of Q3 2026
Above 3.75%
Above 4.25%
1. Okt. um 10:00 AM
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
Above 4.00%
Above 4.25%
4. Jan. um 12:00 PM
Fed median dot plot in September 2026
Above 3.7%
Above 4.2%
16. Sept. um 4:00 PM
Will the Fed publish a dot plot in September 2026?
16. Sept. um 5:00 PM
US Dollar Index move on July FOMC day?
At least 0.60%
At least 0.80%
29. Juli um 6:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
Above 3.00%
Above 3.25%
28. Apr. um 5:00 PM
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
Above 2.75%
Above 3.50%
17. März um 5:00 PM
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Exactly 0
Exactly 1
1. Jan. um 3:00 AM
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
Fed maintains rate
Hike 25bps
9. Dez. um 6:00 PM
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
Fed maintains rate
Hike >25bps
28. Apr. um 5:00 PM
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
Fed maintains rate
Cut 25bps
227.733 $ Volumen