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Science and Technology ตลาดการคาดการณ์

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
US$53,635,994 ปริมาณ
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
20 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
31 ธ.ค. @ 1:00 PM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
20 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
US$360,983 ปริมาณ
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1550 score
1 ก.ค. @ 4:00 AM
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
US$2,852,471 ปริมาณ
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $5.87
Above $5.67
US$146,852 ปริมาณ
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 ธ.ค. @ 1:00 PM
Pandemic in 2026?
US$1,195,350 ปริมาณ
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
US$129,855 ปริมาณ
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Grok
US$172,832 ปริมาณ
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
20 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
US$1,120,428 ปริมาณ
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
US$388,876 ปริมาณ
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Burundi
Kenya
US$466,993 ปริมาณ
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
ไม่
Above 4000
ไม่
US$1,174,201 ปริมาณ
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
US$118,936 ปริมาณ
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Oklo
US$448,458 ปริมาณ
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
US$61,693 ปริมาณ
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
US$521,957 ปริมาณ
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
John Pardon
Yu Deng
US$147,446 ปริมาณ
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?
Above $0.76
Above $0.86
US$57,716 ปริมาณ
Top AI model this month
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
US$1,243,601 ปริมาณ
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1550 score
At least 1600 score
US$96,989 ปริมาณ
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
US$946,505 ปริมาณ
Top Math AI this month
Gemini
Claude
US$36,437 ปริมาณ
NVIDIA H100 SXM Compute Price Up or Down by Jun 19, 2026?
US$1,543 ปริมาณ