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Science and Technology ตลาดการคาดการณ์

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
US$54,896,751 ปริมาณ
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 ธ.ค. @ 1:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in June?
Above 13
Above 14
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Best AI this week
Gemini
ChatGPT
20 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Best AI in Jun 2026?
Claude
Gemini
US$453,328 ปริมาณ
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
20 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
AI capability growth before July?
At least 1525 score
At least 1650 score
1 ก.ค. @ 4:00 AM
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
US$416,306 ปริมาณ
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?
Above $5.07
Above $5.27
US$167,493 ปริมาณ
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 ธ.ค. @ 1:00 PM
How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
US$157,482 ปริมาณ
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
US$2,876,686 ปริมาณ
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Before 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
US$72,345 ปริมาณ
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
Before Jun 26, 2026
Before Jun 19, 2026
US$8,230 ปริมาณ
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 4000
ไม่
Above 6000
ไม่
US$1,182,620 ปริมาณ
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 17th
US$127,160 ปริมาณ
Pandemic in 2026?
US$1,213,572 ปริมาณ
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
US$1,128,309 ปริมาณ
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
US$69,412 ปริมาณ
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
US$529,722 ปริมาณ
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Kenya
Burundi
US$472,896 ปริมาณ
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
US$1,249,568 ปริมาณ
Top Coding AI this week
Claude
Dola
20 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
US$422,767 ปริมาณ
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
US$393,858 ปริมาณ
Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?
John Pardon
Yu Deng
US$151,180 ปริมาณ
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute in Q2?
Above $1.94
Above $1.44
US$22,200 ปริมาณ
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
US$630,979 ปริมาณ
Top AI model this month
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
30 มิ.ย. @ 4:00 AM
US test scores in Math in 2026?
No significant difference
Significant decrease
US$95,134 ปริมาณ