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Politics ตลาดการคาดการณ์

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
US$21,666,910 ปริมาณ
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
US$1,704,862 ปริมาณ
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2028
Before 2027
US$10,311,855 ปริมาณ
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
US$2,291,664 ปริมาณ
When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
US$1,072,005 ปริมาณ
Will the SAVE Act become law?
US$14,734,302 ปริมาณ
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
40.8 to 41.0
40.5 to 40.7
US$329,270 ปริมาณ
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)
Above 150
Above 175
US$289,519 ปริมาณ
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
US$20,237,525 ปริมาณ
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
US$333,406 ปริมาณ
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
US$2,015,876 ปริมาณ
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Surface transportation reauthorization
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
US$1,346,951 ปริมาณ
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Kash Patel
Howard Lutnick
US$6,998,687 ปริมาณ
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
US$969,683 ปริมาณ
Donald Trump: World Cup matches attended
At least 1
At least 2
US$606,164 ปริมาณ
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
US$18,635,949 ปริมาณ
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)
July 7
July 6
US$55,990 ปริมาณ
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
US$1,978,947 ปริมาณ
Will the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act become law?
Before Jul 16, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
US$631,992 ปริมาณ
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jul 2026?
0
1
US$416,168 ปริมาณ
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
US$1,341,851 ปริมาณ
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (7/5-7/11)
>220
200-220
US$544,753 ปริมาณ
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)
At least 50
At least 60
US$100,593 ปริมาณ
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$600 billion to $899 billion
US$2,950,959 ปริมาณ
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Before 2027
Before September 2026
US$484,504 ปริมาณ
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
US$3,650,083 ปริมาณ
Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate?
US$54,109 ปริมาณ
How will Trump act on the ROAD to Housing Act?
Becomes law without signature
Signed
US$21,058 ปริมาณ
Will Trump do anything this week? (7/5-7/11)
At least 3
At least 4
US$22,344 ปริมาณ
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 90
Above 100
US$12,227 ปริมาณ
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
US$821,788 ปริมาณ
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?
US$182,856 ปริมาณ