Previsioni sui mercati

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

Above 13

Above 14

Best AI this week (June 29)

ChatGPT

Grok

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?

Above $5.67

Sì

Above $5.87

Sì

When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?

Before Jun 30, 2026

Before Jun 26, 2026

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

Best AI in Jun 2026?

Claude

Gemini

AI capability growth before July?

At least 1525 score

At least 1550 score

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Top Coding AI this month

Claude

ChatGPT

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?

Above $1.16

Above $0.96

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Above $5.19

Above $6.39

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Atomic Alchemy

Oklo

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Top AI model this week (June 29)

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

claude-fable-5

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Pandemic in 2026?

Top AI model this month

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

claude-fable-5

Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

Significant decrease

No significant difference

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Before 2027

Before December

SpaceX Starship 13th launch?

Before August 17th

Before August

Measles cases in 2026?

Above 4000

No

Above 6000

No

Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?

South Sudan

Kenya

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Before 2027

Before October

Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute in Q2?

Above $2.33

Above $2.73

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