Previsioni sui mercati

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

Above 13

Above 14

Best AI in Jun 2026?

Claude

ChatGPT

Best AI this week

Claude

Gemini

Top AI model this week

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

claude-fable-5

AI capability growth before July?

At least 1525 score

At least 1650 score

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?

Above $5.07

Above $5.27

When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?

Before Jun 30, 2026

Before Jun 26, 2026

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 0

Above 1

Top Coding AI this month

ChatGPT

Claude

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Yu Deng

John Pardon

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Kenya

Burundi

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Arizona

Nevada

Measles cases in 2026?

Above 3000

No

Above 4000

No

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Pandemic in 2026?

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?

Above $0.76

Above $0.86

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Denver, CO

Tampa, FL

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Atomic Alchemy

Oklo

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

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