Previsioni sui mercati

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

ChatGPT

Best AI this week

Claude

Gemini

Best AI in Jun 2026?

Claude

Gemini

Top AI model this week

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

claude-fable-5

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?

Above $5.47

Above $5.87

How many launches will SpaceX have in June?

Above 13

Above 14

AI capability growth before July?

At least 1525 score

At least 1550 score

Top Coding AI this month

ChatGPT

Claude

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

How many screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Above 0

Above 1

Pandemic in 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

SpaceX Starship 13th launch?

Before August

Before July 17th

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Atomic Alchemy

Oklo

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Yu Deng

John Pardon

Top Coding AI this week

Claude

ChatGPT

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

Before 2028

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Nevada

California

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Kenya

Burundi

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Before 2027

Before December

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute in Q2?

Above $0.86

Above $0.96

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

Before 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?

Top Math AI this month

Gemini

Claude

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score

At least 1600 score

US test scores in Math in 2026?

No significant difference

Significant decrease

Measles cases in 2026?

Above 3000

No

Above 4000

No

US test scores in Reading in 2026?

No significant difference

Significant decrease

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

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