Previsioni sui mercati

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before 2028

Best AI this week

Claude

Gemini

How many launches will SpaceX have in July?

Above 13

Above 14

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

ChatGPT

Best AI in Jul 2026?

Claude

Gemini

Top Coding AI this week

ChatGPT

Claude

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Will Sawin

Sam Raskin

Top AI model this week

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

claude-opus-4-6

Top AI model in July?

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

claude-fable-5

SpaceX Starship 13th launch?

Before August

Before July 17th

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

When will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Aug 14, 2026

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Sep 1, 2026

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Before Jul 31, 2026

Before Jul 24, 2026

Measles cases in 2026?

Above 4000

No

Above 6000

No

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Top Math AI this month

Claude

Gemini

Top Coding AI this month

ChatGPT

Claude

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?

Atomic Alchemy

Oklo

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

Meta

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Above 150

Above 160

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Above $7.67

Above $7.37

Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?

Before Aug 31, 2026

Before Jul 31, 2026

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Above $5.19

Above $5.49

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Jul 31, 2026?

Above $0.53

Above $0.83

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

South Sudan

Burundi

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2030

Before 2029

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

Before 2028

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1520 score

At least 1530 score

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