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Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts

Exactly 1 cut

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Next Fed rate hike?

Before July 2027

Before 2027

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Above 3.75%

Above 4.00%

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Neel Kashkari

Lorie Logan

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Above 3.75%

Above 4.00%

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Above 4.30%

Above 4.40%

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Above 4.00%

Above 2.75%

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 3.75%

Above 4.00%

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

0 cuts

1 cuts

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 1

Exactly 0

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Cut 25bps

How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?

3

1

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Above 3.75%

Above 4.00%

Fed decision in Jan 2028?

Fed maintains rate

Hike >25bps

September 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0

Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Cut 25bps

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Fed funds rate at end of 2036

Above 3.00%

Above 3.25%

Fed decision in Oct 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike >25bps

Fed funds rate at end of 2035

Above 3.00%

Above 2.50%

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Cut 25bps

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Fed maintains rate

Hike 25bps

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in September 2026?

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Above $6.8 trillion

Above $6.9 trillion

SOFR at end of Q3 2026

Above 3.75%

Above 4.25%

SOFR at end of Q4 2026

Above 4.00%

Above 4.50%

Fed median dot plot in September 2026

Above 3.3%

Above 3.5%

Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?

Above 3.75%

Above 4.00%

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