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Mercados de previsão de Science and Technology

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Charlotte, NC
Volume de US$ 568.094
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
Gemini
31 de dez. às 1:00 PM
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Volume de US$ 145.058
OpenAI share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 18%
Above 15%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 24.5%
Above 26%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
Anthropic share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 28%
Above 32%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 22%
Above 24%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 de dez. às 1:00 PM
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
30 de set. às 4:00 AM
Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 6%
Above 10%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
Google share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 11%
Above 10%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
Anthropic share of requests on Sep 28, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 3.5%
Above 4.5%
HOJE às 4:00 AM
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Xiaomi
Alibaba
30 de set. às 4:00 AM
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
Volume de US$ 789.524
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 51.537
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Grok
30 de set. às 4:00 AM
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Volume de US$ 768.675
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Qwen
Volume de US$ 1.418.022
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Volume de US$ 341.847
Top Text to Speech AI this week
Cartesia
ElevenLabs
2 de out. às 4:00 AM
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
Volume de US$ 328.922
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 de set. às 4:00 AM
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
Volume de US$ 1.667.145
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
ChatGPT
Volume de US$ 289.327
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 1.698.363
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 80%
At least 60%
Volume de US$ 81.785
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Before Oct 30, 2026
Before Oct 23, 2026
Volume de US$ 15.016
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Volume de US$ 73.652
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1500
above 1505
Volume de US$ 83.182
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 83.710
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
Volume de US$ 57.422
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th
Alibaba
Xiaomi
21 de set. às 2:00 PM
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