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Mercados de previsão de Science and Technology

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 de dez. às 1:00 PM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Volume de US$ 59.492.958
Best AI this week
Gemini
ChatGPT
20 de jul. às 4:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
31 de jul. às 4:00 AM
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 24th
Volume de US$ 505.813
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Kimi
Volume de US$ 851.211
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
31 de jul. às 4:00 AM
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 de dez. às 1:00 PM
Pandemic in 2026?
Volume de US$ 1.340.905
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 2.013.222
Best Chinese AI Company this week
Alibaba
Moonshot
27 de jul. às 4:00 AM
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
27 de jul. às 4:00 AM
Total space launches in July
Above 14
Above 15
31 de jul. às 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
31 de jul. às 4:00 AM
Top Coding AI this week
Kimi
Claude
20 de jul. às 4:00 PM
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 150
Above 160
Volume de US$ 1.011.538
How many space launches will there be in Jul 2026?
Above 14
Above 15
31 de jul. às 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release the next Claude Opus model?
Before Jul 31, 2026
Before Jul 24, 2026
Volume de US$ 22.943
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Volume de US$ 300.077
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Volume de US$ 1.386.963
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Volume de US$ 3.176.347
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Volume de US$ 216.668
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Claude
Gemini
Volume de US$ 200.698
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Aug 16, 2026
Volume de US$ 99.253
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Volume de US$ 596.731
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Volume de US$ 658.588
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
Não
Above 4000
Não
Volume de US$ 1.335.621
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Volume de US$ 704.125
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Before November
Before September
Volume de US$ 94.209
Top Math AI this month
Claude
ChatGPT
31 de jul. às 4:00 AM
When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?
Before October
Before September
Volume de US$ 95.149
Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before Aug 2026?
Atomic Alchemy
Radiant Industries
Volume de US$ 244.275