Mercados de previsão

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

Above 38.8%

38.8%

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

Above 25

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

Above 38.7

38.5 to 38.7

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 310

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 23

At least 24

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)

Not this weekend (Oct 16-18)

Oct 18

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Amy Gleason

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 15, 2026?

Below 7.9%

8.2%

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

180-199

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 16

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 3

At least 4

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 0

Above 1

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/9-10/16)

Sports

Crypto

Elections

Politics

Entertainment

Mentions

Commodities

Economics

Financials

Weather

Science & Technology

Companies

Mercados de previsão de Politics

Trending