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If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 2034, that state's electoral votes are not counted. Conditional adoptions (e.g., Nevada's requirement for voter approval) are not counted until all conditions are satisfied. Examples that WOULD resolve the market to Yes: 270 or more electoral votes worth of states have enacted NPVIC legislation before Jan 1, 2034 States totaling 269 electoral votes have joined, and one additional state with at least 1 electoral vote enacts NPVIC legislation before Jan 1, 2034 Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes: States totaling 269 electoral votes have enacted NPVIC legislation by Jan 1, 2034 States totaling 270 electoral votes have passed NPVIC legislation in both chambers but governors have not yet signed Resultado verificado por National Popular Vote Inc

If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law. The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted. Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted. States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total. If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 2034, that state's electoral votes are not counted. Conditional adoptions (e.g., Nevada's requirement for voter approval) are not counted until all conditions are satisfied. Examples that WOULD resolve the market to Yes: 270 or more electoral votes worth of states have enacted NPVIC legislation before Jan 1, 2034 States totaling 269 electoral votes have joined, and one additional state with at least 1 electoral vote enacts NPVIC legislation before Jan 1, 2034 Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes: States totaling 269 electoral votes have enacted NPVIC legislation by Jan 1, 2034 States totaling 270 electoral votes have passed NPVIC legislation in both chambers but governors have not yet signed Resultado verificado por National Popular Vote Inc

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Principais estatísticas

Vencimento
1 de jan. de 2034(2723 dias)
Juros
US$ 1.372,00
Total
US$ 4,2 mil

Detalhes

Cronograma e regras

Cronograma e pagamento

Este mercado será encerrado e expirará quando uma certa ação ocorrer. Caso contrário, fechará até 1 de jan. de 2034, 3:00 PM GMT+0.

Proibições de negociação

Os itens a seguir estão proibidos de negociar este contrato:
  • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
  • Immediate family members (spouses and dependents) of any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
  • Paid staffers on any campaign listed within this event.
  • Third-party vendors, contractors, consultants, and outside counsel (and employees thereof) engaged by any campaign listed within this event.
  • Paid employees of national, state, or congressional party organizations (including, e.g., the DNC, RNC, DCCC, NRCC, DSCC, and NRSC).
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and independent-expenditure-only political committees ("Super PACs") active in any race listed within this event.
  • Registered federal lobbyists retained by any campaign, party organization, or PAC active in any race listed within this event.
  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • State legislators serving on committees with jurisdiction over election administration in any state with a race listed within this event.
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Executive Office of the President, including the Office of the President and the Office of the Vice President.
  • Commissioners and staff of the Federal Election Commission.
  • Senior staff (Schedule C and equivalent political appointees) of any federal agency with jurisdiction over election administration, election security, or election-related enforcement, including without limitation the Department of Justice (Public Integrity Section, Election Crimes Branch, and Civil Rights Division Voting Section) and the Department of Homeland Security (CISA).
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
  • Federal and state judges presiding over active litigation related to any race listed within this event.
  • All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice President of the United States.
  • State Secretaries of State (and equivalent chief election officials), members of state and local boards of elections, election directors, registrars, and senior staff of state and local election administration offices.
  • Any person working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations. The Exchange shall maintain and publish a list of polling organizations it has designated as "major" and may modify that list at any time. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g., the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University's polling division).
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations, including but not limited to Fox News, ABC News, the Associated Press, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ, NBC News, The New York Times, and Reuters.
  • Employees of exit-polling and election-night survey operations engaged by media organizations or campaigns in any race listed within this event, including but not limited to Edison Research and the National Election Pool.
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