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If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Resultado verificado por CalMatters, Court decisions from California Supreme Court or Federal Courts with jurisdiction, Los Angeles Times, Official California Legislative Information website, official proponent filings, Politico California, Reuters, Sacramento Bee, San Francisco Chronicle, the California Secretary of State

If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Resultado verificado por CalMatters, Court decisions from California Supreme Court or Federal Courts with jurisdiction, Los Angeles Times, Official California Legislative Information website, official proponent filings, Politico California, Reuters, Sacramento Bee, San Francisco Chronicle, the California Secretary of State

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Principais estatísticas

Vencimento
22 de dez. de 2029(1271 dias)
Juros
US$ 900,60
Total
US$ 3,3 mil
Cronograma e regras

Cronograma e pagamento

Este mercado será encerrado e expirará quando uma certa ação ocorrer. Caso contrário, fechará até 22 de dez. de 2029, 2:59 PM GMT+0.

Proibições de negociação

Os itens a seguir estão proibidos de negociar este contrato:
  • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
  • Immediate family members (spouses and dependents) of any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.
  • Paid staffers on any campaign listed within this event.
  • Third-party vendors, contractors, consultants, and outside counsel (and employees thereof) engaged by any campaign listed within this event.
  • Paid employees of national, state, or congressional party organizations (including, e.g., the DNC, RNC, DCCC, NRCC, DSCC, and NRSC).
  • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and independent-expenditure-only political committees ("Super PACs") active in any race listed within this event.
  • Registered federal lobbyists retained by any campaign, party organization, or PAC active in any race listed within this event.
  • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
  • State legislators serving on committees with jurisdiction over election administration in any state with a race listed within this event.
  • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
  • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
  • All staff of the Executive Office of the President, including the Office of the President and the Office of the Vice President.
  • Commissioners and staff of the Federal Election Commission.
  • Senior staff (Schedule C and equivalent political appointees) of any federal agency with jurisdiction over election administration, election security, or election-related enforcement, including without limitation the Department of Justice (Public Integrity Section, Election Crimes Branch, and Civil Rights Division Voting Section) and the Department of Homeland Security (CISA).
  • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
  • Federal and state judges presiding over active litigation related to any race listed within this event.
  • All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice President of the United States.
  • State Secretaries of State (and equivalent chief election officials), members of state and local boards of elections, election directors, registrars, and senior staff of state and local election administration offices.
  • Any person working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
  • Paid employees of major polling organizations. The Exchange shall maintain and publish a list of polling organizations it has designated as "major" and may modify that list at any time. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g., the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University's polling division).
  • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations, including but not limited to Fox News, ABC News, the Associated Press, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ, NBC News, The New York Times, and Reuters.
  • Employees of exit-polling and election-night survey operations engaged by media organizations or campaigns in any race listed within this event, including but not limited to Edison Research and the National Election Pool.
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Os mercados de previsão são oferecidos pela Coinbase Financial Markets, corretora de futuros registrada na Commodity Futures Trading Commission e membro da National Futures Association. Contratos de previsão de negociação envolvem risco significativo e podem resultar na perda de todo o seu investimento. Os contratos pagam apenas se o evento especificado ocorrer. Negocie apenas se você entender o produto e considerar que ele é adequado à sua situação financeira e objetivos.Certo conteúdo foi preparado por terceiros não afiliados à Coinbase Financial Markets ou a qualquer de suas afiliadas, e a Coinbase não se responsabiliza por esse conteúdo. A Coinbase não se responsabiliza por erros ou atrasos no conteúdo, nem por ações tomadas com base nesse conteúdo. As informações são fornecidas apenas para fins informativos e não constituem aconselhamento de investimento. Isto não é uma recomendação de compra ou venda de um ativo digital específico nem de adoção de uma estratégia de investimento específica. A Coinbase não garante a precisão, adequação ou validade de qualquer informação fornecida ou de um ativo específico. Os preços exibidos são apenas ilustrativos. Os preços reais das criptomoedas e as estatísticas associadas podem variar. Os dados apresentados podem refletir ativos negociados na exchange da Coinbase e em outras exchanges de criptomoedas selecionadas. O desempenho passado não é um indicador confiável de resultados futuros.