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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 15, 2026?

38.8%

Above 38.8%

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

Above 25

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

Above 38.7

38.5 to 38.7

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 310

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 190

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 23

At least 24

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)

Not this weekend (Oct 16-18)

Oct 18

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 15, 2026?

Below 7.9%

8.1%

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 3

At least 4

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

180-199

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Amy Gleason

Susie Wiles

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 16

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/9-10/16)

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 0

Above 1

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