Politics – rynki prognoz

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Wolumen 31 089 686 USD
When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Jul 10, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Wolumen 1 588 679 USD
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect?
Wolumen 2 380 804 USD
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (6/21-6/27)
160-179
180-199
Wolumen 451 767 USD
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Wolumen 13 056 451 USD
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (6/22-6/28)
6
7
Wolumen 256 273 USD
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
Above 200
Above 225
Wolumen 227 663 USD
Will Trump attend The World Cup Final?
Wolumen 934 166 USD
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 2027
Before November
Wolumen 20 121 607 USD
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (June 2026)
At least 50
At least 60
Wolumen 647 042 USD
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
Wolumen 4 409 876 USD
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
Before August
Wolumen 2 225 759 USD
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
Lee Zeldin
Wolumen 18 151 820 USD
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Jun 2026?
0
1
Wolumen 1 342 317 USD
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
Before August
Wolumen 3 829 095 USD
Trump's approval rating on Jul 3, 2026?
40.5 to 40.7
40.8 to 41.0
Wolumen 39 560 USD
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026
Wolumen 1 664 252 USD
Will Trump resign during his term?
Wolumen 510 780 USD
How many bills will President Trump sign in Jun 2026?
5
6
Wolumen 58 199 USD
Will Trump do anything this week? (6/21-6/27)
At least 1
At least 10
Wolumen 157 732 USD
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Sep 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026
Wolumen 899 043 USD
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Aug 1, 2026
Wolumen 880 641 USD
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason
Kash Patel
Wolumen 6 524 240 USD
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 329?
Wolumen 988 832 USD
Donald Trump: World Cup matches attended
At least 2
At least 3
Wolumen 283 681 USD
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
Before Jan 1, 2029
Wolumen 897 215 USD
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
Wolumen 1 104 482 USD
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman
Jensen Huang
Wolumen 90 945 USD
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (6/21-6/27)
At least 25
At least 50
Wolumen 21 320 USD
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Wolumen 4 722 352 USD
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
Jay Clayton
Aaron Lukas
Wolumen 2 641 051 USD
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (6/26-7/3)?
Wolumen 7914 USD