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Politics – rynki prognoz

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Ikona rynku Alina Habba

Alina Habba

Ikona rynku Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Will the SAVE Act become law?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/16-8/22)

200-219

180-199

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Ikona rynku Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

Ikona rynku Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

$0 / No Acquisition

$600 billion to $899 billion

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ikona rynku Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

Ikona rynku John Brennan

John Brennan

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/16-8/22)

At least 1

At least 5

Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?

39.1 to 39.3

38.8 to 39.0

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 25

Above 30

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before 2028

Before 2027

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Mar 1, 2027

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Ikona rynku Peter Thiel

Peter Thiel

Ikona rynku Vladimir Putin

Vladimir Putin

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Before 2027

Before Sep 1, 2026

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Ikona rynku Germany

Germany

Ikona rynku Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Sep 8, 2026

Before Aug 28, 2026

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

Stephen Ferrara

Brian Christine

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

At least 30

At least 40

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?

James Talarico

Jon Ossoff

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?