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Politics – rynki prognoz

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Wolumen 1 000 000 USD
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Wolumen 29 023 056 USD
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
Wolumen 4 959 095 USD
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Todd Blanche
No one
Wolumen 22 726 140 USD
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Wolumen 21 703 465 USD
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason
Howard Lutnick
Wolumen 8 362 548 USD
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/2-8/8)
200-219
180-199
Wolumen 350 535 USD
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
Wolumen 265 346 USD
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jan 20, 2029
Wolumen 7 728 955 USD
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess?
Wolumen 830 745 USD
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
Above 40
Above 45
Wolumen 79 098 USD
Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?
Wolumen 135 252 USD
Trump's approval rating on Aug 7, 2026?
Below 39.2
39.2 to 39.4
Wolumen 138 835 USD
When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
Wolumen 378 349 USD
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Below 37%
Below 36%
Wolumen 581 209 USD
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
Lisa Murkowski
Bill Cassidy
Wolumen 457 255 USD
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Wolumen 3 426 632 USD
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Wolumen 259 682 USD
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
Wolumen 5 155 858 USD
How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Above 50
Above 51
Wolumen 122 822 USD
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Wolumen 3 078 331 USD
Will Trump do anything this week? (8/2-8/8)
At least 4
At least 5
Wolumen 67 588 USD
Will Trump resign during his term?
Wolumen 636 295 USD
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Aug 2026?
0
1
Wolumen 208 177 USD
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
Wolumen 13 962 166 USD
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
John Brennan
Letitia James
Wolumen 2 234 308 USD
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/1-8/7)
At least 10
At least 50
Wolumen 69 581 USD
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 7, 2026?
James Talarico
Abdul El-Sayed
Wolumen 43 451 USD
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Wolumen 184 362 USD
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/2 - 8/8)
Wolumen 15 360 USD
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Wolumen 3 042 422 USD
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
Above 150,000
Above 160,000
Wolumen 8988 USD