Politics – rynki prognoz

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
Wolumen 21 295 173 USD
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Wolumen 3 993 231 USD
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Wolumen 22 617 856 USD
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
Wolumen 6 409 582 USD
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Ikona rynku Amy Gleason
Amy Gleason
Ikona rynku Doug Burgum
Doug Burgum
Wolumen 9 148 657 USD
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Wolumen 8 245 405 USD
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/9-8/15)
180-199
160-179
Wolumen 179 053 USD
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
Above 25
Above 30
Wolumen 317 431 USD
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/9 - 8/15)
Above 1
Above 2
Wolumen 29 062 USD
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
Wolumen 14 091 050 USD
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?
Wolumen 283 779 USD
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Wolumen 700 950 USD
Trump's approval rating on Aug 14, 2026?
39.1 to 39.3
39.4 to 39.6
Wolumen 43 459 USD
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
Before Nov 4, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Wolumen 397 797 USD
How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?
Above 275
Above 300
Wolumen 11 710 USD
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Vladimir Putin
Wolumen 58 356 USD
Will Trump do anything this week? (8/9-8/15)
At least 4
At least 5
Wolumen 24 696 USD
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
Wolumen 2 320 796 USD
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Wolumen 1 115 141 USD
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/9 - 8/15)
Wolumen 10 151 USD
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Wolumen 326 413 USD
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
Wolumen 365 500 USD
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Ikona rynku Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Ikona rynku John Brennan
John Brennan
Wolumen 2 368 958 USD
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 40
Above 60
Wolumen 153 205 USD
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
Wolumen 1 718 086 USD
When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
Wolumen 1 342 175 USD
Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Wolumen 216 294 USD
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Wolumen 3 236 043 USD
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
Prince Andrew
Bill Clinton
Wolumen 110 585 USD
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
Above 5
Above 10
Wolumen 50 536 USD
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Wolumen 2 284 130 USD
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)
Above 30
Above 40
Wolumen 13 987 USD