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Science and Technology voorspellingsmarkten

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Tokyo, Japan
US$ 515.556 vol
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dec om 1:00 p.m.
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Gemini
US$ 1.053.223 vol
Best AI this week
Gemini
ChatGPT
VANDAAG om 4:00 p.m.
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
US$ 1.614.641 vol
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dec om 1:00 p.m.
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 22.7%
Above 26.3%
20 sep om 4:00 a.m.
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
Before 2028
US$ 1.553.185 vol
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
US$ 60.476 vol
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
US$ 737.603 vol
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $6.39
Above $6.09
US$ 64.709 vol
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
US$ 23.763 vol
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Dec 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
US$ 52.671 vol
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
US$ 78.475 vol
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
US$ 263.639 vol
OpenAI market share this week
Above 26.1%
Above 20.8%
20 sep om 4:00 a.m.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 65%
At least 60%
US$ 69.940 vol
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
US$ 347.375 vol
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
US$ 265.911 vol
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sep om 4:00 a.m.
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Tencent
Moonshot
US$ 69.311 vol
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Arizona
Georgia
US$ 63.712 vol
Tesla Optimus released this year?
US$ 748.617 vol
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
30 sep om 4:00 a.m.
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
US$ 317.185 vol
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sep om 4:00 a.m.
When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.7?
Before Sep 18, 2026
Before Sep 11, 2026
Nee
US$ 4.494 vol
Z.ai market share this week
Above 2.4%
Above 10.3%
20 sep om 4:00 a.m.
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in September
Above 39.3%
Above 40.5%
US$ 1.141 vol
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $8.27
Above $8.57
US$ 28.929 vol
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
Alibaba
Z.ai
VANDAAG om 2:00 p.m.
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
US$ 55.743 vol