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Politics voorspellingsmarkten

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
US$ 22.661.275 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
US$ 23.020.245 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Katie Miller
Anna Kelly
US$ 301.671 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?
US$ 664.060 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
US$ 4.376.261 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Marktpictogram Susie Wiles
Susie Wiles
Marktpictogram Amy Gleason
Amy Gleason
US$ 8.577.067 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/9-8/15)
180-199
160-179
US$ 408.945 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
US$ 6.644.973 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
US$ 1.798.236 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Marktpictogram Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Marktpictogram John Brennan
John Brennan
US$ 2.597.808 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
US$ 5.418.143 vol
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/8-8/14)
At least 10
At least 15
US$ 79.426 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)
At least 7
At least 8
US$ 85.683 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
US$ 8.573.712 vol
Trump's approval rating on Aug 14, 2026?
39.1 to 39.3
38.8 to 39.0
US$ 135.192 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Marktpictogram Cuba
Cuba
Marktpictogram Venezuela
Venezuela
US$ 3.387.526 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 40
Above 60
US$ 184.080 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
US$ 742.155 vol
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 14, 2026?
James Talarico
Abdul El-Sayed
US$ 48.592 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
US$ 3.132.106 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
US$ 14.194.223 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)
Above 20
Above 30
US$ 56.739 vol
Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
US$ 1.013.387 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
Jensen Huang
Vladimir Putin
US$ 86.818 vol
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
US$ 3.351.820 vol
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
Donald Trump
Prince Andrew
US$ 128.660 vol
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
Before Nov 21, 2026
Before Jan 1, 2027
US$ 14.550 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$100 billion to $299 billion
US$ 3.177.133 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
US$ 357.389 vol
Will a court block paid early access to Trump's Truth Social posts in 2026?
US$ 10.988 vol
When will Trump release more UFO files?
Before Sep 18, 2026
Before Sep 11, 2026
US$ 26.612 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/9 - 8/15)
Above 1
Above 2
US$ 47.845 vol