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Science and Technology Marchés de prédiction

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Sacramento, CA
Tokyo, Japan
Volume : 489 205 $US
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Volume : 60 166 177 $US
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 déc. à 1:00 PM
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Gemini
Volume : 849 146 $US
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Volume : 586 594 $US
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 8
Above 9
30 sept. à 4:00 AM
Open Source market share on Sep 14th
Above 72.5%
Above 80%
15 sept. à 4:00 AM
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Volume : 1 614 136 $US
Best AI this week
Claude
ChatGPT
AUJOURD'HUI à 4:00 PM
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Volume : 3 825 776 $US
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Oct 16, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
Volume : 164 838 $US
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 déc. à 1:00 PM
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Before 2035
Before 2032
Volume : 269 294 $US
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
Meta
Volume : 737 560 $US
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
Volume : 60 076 $US
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Above $6.39
Above $6.09
Volume : 64 709 $US
When will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Before 2035
Before 2040
Volume : 95 441 $US
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Dec 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Volume : 60 625 $US
When will xAI release Grok 5?
Before 2027
Before October
Volume : 53 022 $US
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Volume : 767 991 $US
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Volume : 22 828 $US
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
Volume : 284 212 $US
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 65%
At least 60%
Volume : 69 924 $US
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Volume : 262 519 $US
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Hodge Conjecture
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture
Volume : 1 549 $US
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
Volume : 347 375 $US
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 145
Volume : 1 287 815 $US
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sept. à 4:00 AM
When will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
Before 2028
Before March 2027
Volume : 45 037 $US
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Arizona
Georgia
Volume : 63 688 $US
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Volume : 748 617 $US
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
30 sept. à 4:00 AM