Marchés de prédiction

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings

Anna Kelly

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?

38.9%

Above 39.0%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Nov 1, 2027

When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?

Before Nov 3, 2026

Before Oct 20, 2026

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 290

Above 300

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 180

Above 185

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 4

Above 5

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 16

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Amy Gleason

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

0

1

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 185

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)

Above 3

Above 1

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Nov 27, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Trump's approval rating on Oct 23, 2026?

38.7 to 38.9

38.4 to 38.6

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 20

Above 25

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Above 0

Above 1

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 19, 2026?

38.9%

38.8%

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 310

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 190

Above 195

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