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Mercados de predicción de Science and Technology

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before 2028
Vol. de 59.322.391 US$
Top AI model this week
claude-opus-4-6
claude-fable-5
20 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
SpaceX Starship 13th launch?
Before August
Before July 24th
Vol. de 418.446 US$
Top Coding AI this week
Kimi
Qwen
Vol. de 660.333 US$
How many launches will SpaceX have in July?
Above 13
Above 14
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Best AI this week
Qwen
Amazon Nova
Vol. de 314.645 US$
Top Coding AI this month
ChatGPT
Claude
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Measles cases in 2026?
Above 3000
No
Above 4000
No
Vol. de 1.322.876 US$
Top AI model in July?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-fable-5
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
Pandemic in 2026?
Vol. de 1.317.649 US$
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 160
Above 170
Vol. de 1.001.117 US$
Best AI in Jul 2026?
Claude
Kimi
Vol. de 800.822 US$
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Vol. de 1.380.131 US$
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. de 1.991.863 US$
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
Clip-on device for clothing
Vol. de 244.269 US$
When will Anthropic release the next Claude Opus model?
Before Jul 24, 2026
Before Jul 22, 2026
Vol. de 13.387 US$
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Vol. de 210.866 US$
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
Vol. de 290.608 US$
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
OpenAI
xAI
Vol. de 590.782 US$
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Vol. de 98.754 US$
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
South Sudan
Burundi
Vol. de 610.109 US$
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Vol. de 3.169.193 US$
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Vol. de 698.725 US$
Top Math AI this month
Claude
Gemini
31 jul a las 4:00 a. m.
NASA lands on the moon?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. de 995.602 US$
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
above 1495
above 1500
Vol. de 33.333 US$
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
Above 12k
Above 14k
Vol. de 15.064 US$
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Before Aug 31, 2026
Before Jul 31, 2026
Vol. de 27.485 US$
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before 2027
Before December
Vol. de 330.276 US$
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5
4
Vol. de 39.922 US$