Mercados de predicciones

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Gemini

Claude

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Above 10

Above 11

Google market share this week

Above 17.3%

Above 19.1%

Google share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 10.8%

Above 10.1%

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Claude

Qwen

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Denver, CO

Detroit, MI

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 27.8%

Above 28.9%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026

Above 54.6%

Above 69.3%

Anthropic market share this week

Above 6.5%

Above 6.1%

OpenAI market share this week

Above 18.6%

Above 19.2%

Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 29.2%

Above 32.5%

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035

Before 2030

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 18.7%

Above 19.7%

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Gemini

Claude

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score

At least 1600 score

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 30, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 7.0%

Above 7.6%

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026

Above 68.5%

Above 70.2%

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Dec 31, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

Before 2027

Before November

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Nov 16, 2026

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1

Above 196T tokens

Above 198T tokens

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Above 140

Above 145

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Nov 16, 2026

Before Dec 1, 2026

Pandemic in 2026?

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

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Criptomonedas

Elecciones

Política

Entretenimiento

Menciones

Materias primas

Economía

Datos financieros

Clima

Ciencia y tecnología

Empresas

Mercados de predicción de Science and Technology

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Criptomonedas

Elecciones

Política

Entretenimiento

Menciones

Materias primas

Economía

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Clima

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Redes sociales

Mercados de predicción de Science and Technology