Mercados de predicciones

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?

38.1%

38.2%

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 22

Above 25

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Nov 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 5

Above 6

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 10

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

120-139

140-159

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Cassidy Hutchinson

Ilhan Omar

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

37.9 to 38.1

37.6 to 37.8

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 300

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 180

Above 190

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

Above 25

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?

1

2

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 10

At least 15

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Doug Collins

Susie Wiles

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026?

8.4%

8.7%

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 5

At least 6

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

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