Mercados de predicciones

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Danielle Alvarez

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Pete Hegseth

Will Scharf

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 23

Above 25

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Nov 21, 2026

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Trump resign during his term?

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 290

Above 300

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

5 or more

4

Will Trump be impeached during his term?

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/8-11/14)

At least 4

At least 5

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Before Dec 25, 2026

Before Jan 1, 2027

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (11/2-11/8)

5

4

Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 9, 2026?

39.1%

39.0%

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 6

Above 7

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/8-11/14)

220+

160-179

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/1 - 11/7)

Above 0

Above 1

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

John Brennan

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/2 - 11/8)

November 6

November 4

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 25

Above 27

Will Dana White publicly decline the press secretary role?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Export-control chip security

Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Before his term ends

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

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