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Mercados de predicción de Science and Technology

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Gemini market icon

Claude market icon

Vol. de 18.103.128 US$

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 13, 2026

Above 57.0% market icon

Above 59.2% market icon

Vol. de 40.153 US$

OpenAI market share this week

Above 18.6% market icon

Above 18.9% market icon

Vol. de 115.818 US$

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 31.7% market icon

Above 32.4% market icon

Vol. de 208.479 US$

Best AI this month

Gemini market icon

Claude market icon

Vol. de 404.331 US$

Google market share this week

Above 14.9% market icon

Above 15.5% market icon

Vol. de 151.509 US$

Anthropic market share this week

Above 6.0% market icon

Above 6.3% market icon

Vol. de 85.942 US$

Best AI this week

Gemini market icon

Claude market icon

Vol. de 158.102 US$

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 14, 2026

Above 67.3% market icon

Above 71.7% market icon

Vol. de 17.292 US$

OpenRouter token usage in Nov 9–15, 2026

Above 207T tokens market icon

Above 207T tokens

Above 215T tokens market icon

Above 215T tokens

Vol. de 35.594 US$

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Vol. de 496.376 US$

Open source share of spend on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 19.5% market icon

Above 24.7% market icon

Vol. de 3281 US$

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Vol. de 69.491 US$

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic market icon

Google market icon

Vol. de 1.250.270 US$

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

Vol. de 287.188 US$

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI market icon

Meta market icon

Vol. de 483.667 US$

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Vol. de 251.243 US$

Z.AI share of requests on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 3.9% market icon

Above 4.4% market icon

Vol. de 2612 US$

Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

Yes

No

Vol. de 97.025 US$

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Before Jan 1, 2031

Before Jan 1, 2030

Vol. de 60.855 US$

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 15, 2026

Above 70.8% market icon

Above 72.2% market icon

Vol. de 3941 US$

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?

Before Dec 31, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

Vol. de 436.811 US$

Anthropic share of requests on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 7.2% market icon

Above 8.1% market icon

Vol. de 1542 US$

Z.AI share of spend on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 6.6% market icon

Above 10.8% market icon

Vol. de 1505 US$

Google share of spend on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 9.4% market icon

Above 6.6% market icon

Vol. de 1232 US$

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030 market icon

Before 2028 market icon

Vol. de 904.372 US$

OpenAI share of requests on Nov 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 18.8% market icon

Above 19.9% market icon

Vol. de 773 US$

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score market icon

At least 1550 score

At least 1600 score market icon

At least 1600 score

Vol. de 144.643 US$

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Vol. de 45.855 US$

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes

No

Vol. de 492.198 US$

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

Vol. de 17.826 US$

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

Vol. de 5930 US$

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