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Mercados de predicción de Science and Technology

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Denver, CO
Sí
Sacramento, CA
Vol. de 554.458 US$
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
ChatGPT
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Best AI this week
Claude
Gemini
21 sept a las 4:00 p. m.
DeepSeek market share this week
Above 25.2%
Above 25.4%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Tencent market share this week
Above 4.9%
Above 5.7%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Anthropic market share this week
Above 2.5%
Above 2.6%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Google market share this week
Above 19.3%
Above 18.8%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Xiaomi market share this week
Above 1.8%
Above 1.9%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Moonshot AI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 18%
Above 20%
Vol. de 36.163 US$
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 24%
Above 25.5%
Vol. de 34.346 US$
OpenAI market share this week
Above 16.9%
Above 17.8%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Qwen market share this week
Above 6.5%
Above 6.6%
28 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Best AI in Sep 2026?
Claude
Qwen
Vol. de 1.227.003 US$
OpenAI share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 16%
Above 18%
Vol. de 22.250 US$
DeepSeek share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 18%
Above 24%
Vol. de 18.851 US$
Google share of requests on Sep 22, 2026 (Vercel)
Above 12%
Above 15%
Vol. de 18.184 US$
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
ChatGPT
Claude
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. de 1.675.866 US$
OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27
Above 156T tokens
Above 158T tokens
27 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
When will Google release Gemini 4?
Before Dec 15, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
Vol. de 83.359 US$
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Vol. de 69.976 US$
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
Claude
ChatGPT
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Top Open Source AI this week
Xiaomi
GLM
25 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
OpenAI
31 dic a las 1:00 p. m.
Next Gemini Pro model release
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 16, 2026
Vol. de 41.783 US$
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Vol. de 269.586 US$
Top AI model in September?
claude-fable-5.1-max
claude-opus-5-max
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?
At least 65%
At least 60%
Vol. de 74.868 US$
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th
Alibaba
Z.ai
21 sept a las 2:00 p. m.
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st
Alibaba
Moonshot
Vol. de 80.526 US$
AI capability growth this year?
At least 1520 score
At least 1530 score
Vol. de 362.448 US$
Top Chinese AI Company this month
Alibaba
Moonshot
30 sept a las 4:00 a. m.