Prediction Markets

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 14, 2026?

Above 38.4%

38.4%

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

Above 25

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

180-199

160-179

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 300

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

Above 200

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

Above 38.7

38.2 to 38.4

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 170

Above 190

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 10

At least 15

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Doug Collins

Susie Wiles

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 15

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

0

1

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 14, 2026?

40+

30-39

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 4

At least 5

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