Prediction Markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Amy Gleason

Trent McCotter

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Avigdor Lieberman

Amir Ohana

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 23

Above 25

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

John Brennan

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 6

Above 7

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/1 - 11/7)

Above 0

Above 1

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 290

Above 300

Will the SAVE Act become law?

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/1-11/7)

At least 6

At least 10

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

Pete Hegseth departure announced?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Dec 4, 2026

Before Nov 27, 2026

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 25

Above 27

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Before his term ends

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (11/2-11/8)

5

6

Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 8, 2026?

39.1%

38.9%

Will Trump issue dividend payments?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump resign during his term?

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026?

4

5 or more

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

When will Trump golf this weekend? (11/6-11/8)

Nov 7

Nov 8

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

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