Prediction Markets

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 20, 2026

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings

Anna Kelly

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 17, 2026?

38.7%

38.6%

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Nov 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2028

When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?

Before Nov 3, 2026

Before Oct 20, 2026

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Amy Gleason

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 300

Above 310

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 185

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 3

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

Above 25

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 185

Above 190

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 10

At least 1

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

160-179

180-199

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 16, 2026?

10-14

20-24

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 16

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 15

At least 20

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 190

Above 195

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?

2

3

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