Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 14, 2026?

Above 38.4%

38.4%

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Cassidy Hutchinson

Ilhan Omar

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

37.9 to 38.1

38.2 to 38.4

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 10

At least 15

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

120-139

140-159

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 290

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

Above 200

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Doug Collins

Pete Hegseth

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

0

1

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 5

At least 6

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 15

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

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