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Politics Prediction Markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$6,856,502 vol
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Scott Jennings
Anna Kelly
$11,410,997 vol
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 20, 2026?
39.6%
39.5%
Sep 19 @ 2:00 PM
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$1,698,869 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/13-9/19)
100-119
120-139
$465,041 vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$20,697,188 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
$745,996 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$14,836,092 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 25
Above 30
$439,983 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$759,691 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/14-9/20)
4
5
$98,255 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,846,509 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$10,430,758 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Venezuela market icon
Venezuela
Cuba market icon
Cuba
$3,634,664 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth market icon
Pete Hegseth
Doug Collins market icon
Doug Collins
$8,337,716 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 25
Above 30
$40,831 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,198,652 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$27,431,963 vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,169,139 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 5
Above 10
$135,989 vol
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$29,856 vol
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?
1
2
$49,713 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 175
Above 200
$95,889 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$10 billion to $99 billion
$3,434,819 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$431,705 vol
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?
$115,035 vol
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 150
Above 175
$17,060 vol
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 30
Above 40
$351,132 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 10
Above 15
$13,783 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$2,312,387 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19)
$26,853 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jan 31, 2028
Before Jun 1, 2027
$599,424 vol