Prediction Markets

Katie Zacharia out as White House Press Secretary?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 14, 2026?

Above 38.4%

38.4%

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 1, 2026

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

140-159

160-179

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Christopher Luxon

Benjamin Netanyahu

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?

Above 38.7

37.9 to 38.1

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

Above 200

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 280

Above 290

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Before January 20, 2029

Before 2028

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Susie Wiles

Doug Collins

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 10

At least 15

How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

At least 22

At least 23

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

0

1

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 15

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 4

At least 5

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 0

Above 1

Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?

Pennsylvania

Wisconsin

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

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