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Politics Prediction Markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 13, 2026?
38.1%
38.2%
Oct 12 @ 2:00 PM
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Dec 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2027
$18,950,633 vol
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Christopher Luxon market icon
Christopher Luxon
Benjamin Netanyahu market icon
Benjamin Netanyahu
$7,404,457 vol
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)
7
6
$126,071 vol
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)
At least 1
At least 10
$59,117 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Cassidy Hutchinson market icon
Cassidy Hutchinson
Ilhan Omar market icon
Ilhan Omar
$3,547,365 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Above 22
Above 25
$161,791 vol
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
Above 280
Above 300
$51,757 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)
120-139
140-159
$78,688 vol
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?
$1,385,593 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$28,926,661 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Oct 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$6,270,682 vol
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Nov 1, 2026
$82,689 vol
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?
James Talarico
Abdul El-Sayed
$114,988 vol
Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$119,277 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?
Oct 24 @ 4:00 AM
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?
1
2
$155,725 vol
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 13, 2026?
8.4%
8.5%
Oct 12 @ 2:00 PM
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
$2,987,453 vol
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Before Jul 1, 2027 market icon
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2027 market icon
Before Oct 1, 2027
$2,003,111 vol
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)
At least 10
At least 15
$22,886 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Doug Collins market icon
Doug Collins
Susie Wiles market icon
Susie Wiles
$8,809,664 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$4,223,405 vol
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?
37.9 to 38.1
37.6 to 37.8
$46,503 vol
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
At least 22
At least 23
$90,286 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$15,268,835 vol
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Before Jan 21, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$306,881 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)
At least 5
At least 6
$22,354 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Apr 1, 2027
Before Jul 1, 2027
$494,337 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$8,319,153 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Above 5
Above 6
$80,683 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,723,105 vol
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