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Politics Prediction Markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Apr 1, 2027
$21,346,390 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$4,006,377 vol
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$22,632,376 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$6,423,241 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/9-8/15)
180-199
160-179
$185,235 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$8,245,652 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
Above 25
Above 30
$318,937 vol
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/9 - 8/15)
Above 1
Above 2
$29,177 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,295,023 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Amy Gleason market icon
Amy Gleason
Doug Burgum market icon
Doug Burgum
$9,152,206 vol
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/8-8/14)
At least 20
At least 25
$26,577 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$14,092,559 vol
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Anthony Fauci market icon
Anthony Fauci
John Brennan market icon
John Brennan
$2,379,653 vol
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
$1,115,173 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
$702,172 vol
Will Trump do anything this week? (8/9-8/15)
At least 3
At least 5
$25,350 vol
Trump's approval rating on Aug 14, 2026?
39.1 to 39.3
39.4 to 39.6
$45,373 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?
Jensen Huang
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$59,958 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?
$284,968 vol
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
Before Nov 4, 2026
Before Sep 1, 2026
$397,998 vol
How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?
Above 275
Above 300
$11,964 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$330,181 vol
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
Before Sep 1, 2026
$2,320,812 vol
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/9 - 8/15)
$10,792 vol
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Oct 1, 2026
$367,282 vol
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
$1,718,751 vol
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Below 36%
Below 35%
$450,795 vol
Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
Bill Clinton
Prince Andrew
$111,523 vol
Will Trump resign during his term?
$650,893 vol
Will the SAVE America Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$3,237,983 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)
Above 5
Above 10
$50,874 vol
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 14, 2026?
James Talarico
Abdul El-Sayed
$17,200 vol