Prediction Markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings

Anna Kelly

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 18, 2026?

38.6%

38.7%

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

100-119

120-139

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Dec 1, 2027

When will Katie Zacharia deliver her next White House briefing?

Before Nov 3, 2026

Before Oct 20, 2026

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 10

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 20

Above 22

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 290

Above 300

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Cassidy Hutchinson

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Amy Gleason

Susie Wiles

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 180

Above 185

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

6

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Aug 1, 2027

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 1

At least 10

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/16-10/18)

Not this weekend (Oct 16-18)

Oct 18

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 180

Above 185

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Nov 13, 2026

Before Nov 6, 2026

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

Above 6

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/18 - 10/24)

Above 0

Above 1

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)

Above 3

Above 1

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 1

Above 2

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

October 16

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 185

Above 190

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

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