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Politics Prediction Markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly
Scott Jennings
$11,321,289 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Nov 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026
$732,785 vol
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
Before 2027
$6,846,225 vol
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Jul 1, 2027
$20,630,023 vol
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
$680,316 vol
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/13-9/19)
100-119
120-139
$395,251 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 20
Above 25
$399,639 vol
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
Venezuela market icon
Venezuela
Canada market icon
Canada
$3,633,934 vol
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Oct 1, 2027
$10,423,535 vol
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/13-9/19)
At least 1
At least 10
$271,452 vol
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Pete Hegseth market icon
Pete Hegseth
Amy Gleason market icon
Amy Gleason
$8,330,085 vol
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 20, 2026?
39.6%
39.5%
TODAY @ 2:00 PM
Will the SAVE Act become law?
$27,423,303 vol
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
$7,185,416 vol
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 175
Above 225
$27,138 vol
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Before Jul 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$29,381 vol
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition
$10 billion to $99 billion
$3,433,888 vol
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
$6,595,583 vol
How many bills will President Trump sign in Sep 2026?
10
9
$62,124 vol
Which AI CEOs will Trump meet this month?
Elon Musk
Dario Amodei
$21,681 vol
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Nov 1, 2026
$424,082 vol
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)
Above 5
Above 10
$118,698 vol
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
$3,766,808 vol
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 25
Above 30
$19,347 vol
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
$1,150,986 vol
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
$388,902 vol
Will Trump be impeached?
Before Jan 1, 2028
Before Mar 1, 2027
$5,953,968 vol
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027
$599,205 vol
Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026?
39.4 to 39.6
39.7 to 39.9
$11,158 vol
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
$1,589,618 vol
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
Before January 20, 2029
Before 2028
$14,758,924 vol
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
Ahmed al-Sharaa market icon
Ahmed al-Sharaa
Benjamin Netanyahu market icon
Benjamin Netanyahu
$66,539 vol