Prediction Markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 2, 2026?

Above 39.1%

39.1%

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/1-11/7)

360+

220-239

Will the SAVE Act become law?

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/31-11/6)

At least 150

At least 200

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 25

Above 27

Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?

Gadi Eisenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2026?

James Talarico

Abdul El-Sayed

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Aug 1, 2027

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Ric Grenell

Pete Hegseth

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Nov 1, 2027

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Ilhan Omar

Dan J. Sullivan

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)

October 31

October 29

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 195

Above 200

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 185

Above 190

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 290

Above 300

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 5

Above 6

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 185

Above 190

Will the House impeach Trump?

Before Aug 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)

Above 190

Above 195

Trump's approval rating on Nov 6, 2026?

Above 39.0

38.5 to 38.7

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (11/1-11/7)

At least 4

At least 5

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Will Trump resign during his term?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jul 1, 2027

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

Before Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2028

How many states will Trump visit in Nov 2026?

At least 6

At least 8

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