Mercados preditivos

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Sacramento, CA

Charlotte, NC

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

ChatGPT

Tencent market share this week

Above 3.5%

Above 4.9%

Anthropic market share this week

Above 2.7%

Above 2.8%

Google market share this week

Above 19.3%

Above 20.0%

Xiaomi market share this week

Above 2.1%

Above 2.5%

Best AI this week

Claude

Gemini

Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)

Claude

ChatGPT

Qwen market share this week

Above 6.2%

Above 6.5%

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 24.9%

Above 25.2%

OpenAI market share this week

Above 17.8%

Above 19.3%

Best AI in Sep 2026?

Claude

Gemini

Top AI model this week

claude-fable-5.1-max

claude-opus-5-high

When will Google release Gemini 4?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 16, 2026

OpenRouter token usage in Sep 21–27

Above 132T tokens

Above 140T tokens

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

Meta

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1520 score

At least 1530 score

When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th

Alibaba

Z.ai

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Oct 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 16, 2026

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Oct 30, 2026

Before Oct 23, 2026

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st

Alibaba

Moonshot

Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)

Claude

ChatGPT

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

At least 60%

At least 80%

Top Coding AI this week

ChatGPT

Claude

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2026

When will Anthropic release Opus 6?

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 16, 2026

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