Mercados preditivos

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Gemini

Claude

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 31.2%

Above 31.7%

Best AI this month

Gemini

Claude

Anthropic market share this week

Above 6.0%

Above 6.3%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 11, 2026

Above 54.7%

Above 56.8%

OpenAI market share this week

Above 18.2%

Above 18.6%

Best AI this week

Gemini

Claude

Google market share this week

Above 14.3%

Above 14.9%

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?

Before Dec 31, 2026

Before Nov 13, 2026

OpenRouter token usage in Nov 9–15, 2026

Above 207T tokens

Above 215T tokens

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Apr 1, 2028

Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?

Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 2029

OpenAI share of requests on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 18.9%

Above 19.2%

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Denver, CO

Las Vegas, NV

Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?

Nevada

Arizona

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

When will AI score above 185 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Before Feb 1, 2027

Before Apr 1, 2027

Anthropic share of spend on Nov 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 32.1%

Above 41.0%

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

Before 2028

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

01A1

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

AI capability growth this year?

At least 1550 score

At least 1600 score

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

At least 80%

At least 70%

Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?

Before Jan 1, 2029

Before Jan 1, 2027

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 12, 2026

Above 64.4%

Above 67.4%

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2027?

At least 75%

At least 80%

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Clip-on device for clothing

Earbuds/Headphones

Desporto

Criptomoedas

Eleições

Política

Entretenimento

Menções

Commodities

Economia

Dados financeiros

Meteorologia

Ciência e Tecnologia

Empresas

Science and Technology Mercados preditivos

Tendência

Desporto

Criptomoedas

Eleições

Política

Entretenimento

Menções

Commodities

Economia

Dados financeiros

Meteorologia

Ciência e Tecnologia

Empresas

Redes sociais

Science and Technology Mercados preditivos