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Science and Technology Mercados preditivos

Best AI at the end of 2026?
Ícone de mercado Gemini
Gemini
Ícone de mercado Claude
Claude
31 de dez. @ 1:00 PM
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
Before Jan 1, 2028
Vol. US$ 33.371.289
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?
Before Dec 31, 2026
Before Nov 13, 2026
Vol. US$ 353.511
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
Denver, CO
Las Vegas, NV
Vol. US$ 448.056
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Above 0
Above 1
Vol. US$ 200.062
SpaceX Starship 15th launch?
Before Dec 11, 2026
Before Nov 27, 2026
Vol. US$ 80.511
Best AI this month
Ícone de mercado Gemini
Gemini
Ícone de mercado Claude
Claude
30 de nov. @ 5:00 AM
OpenRouter token usage in Nov 2–8, 2026
Ícone de mercado Above 207T tokens
Above 207T tokens
Ícone de mercado Above 210T tokens
Above 210T tokens
Vol. US$ 27.092
When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. US$ 377.664
Google market share this week
Ícone de mercado Above 13.8%
Above 13.8%
Ícone de mercado Above 14.4%
Above 14.4%
Vol. US$ 31.979
Best AI this week
Ícone de mercado Gemini
Gemini
Ícone de mercado Claude
Claude
2 de nov. @ 5:00 PM
OpenAI market share this week
Ícone de mercado Above 18.8%
Above 18.8%
Ícone de mercado Above 19.1%
Above 19.1%
Vol. US$ 24.102
How many launches will SpaceX have in November?
Ícone de mercado Above 7
Above 7
Ícone de mercado Above 8
Above 8
30 de nov. @ 5:00 AM
Measles cases in 2026?
Ícone de mercado Above 7000
Above 7000
Ícone de mercado Above 8000
Above 8000
Vol. US$ 694.397
Anthropic market share this week
Ícone de mercado Above 5.7%
Above 5.7%
Ícone de mercado Above 5.9%
Above 5.9%
Vol. US$ 13.643
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Central African Republic
Ethiopia
Vol. US$ 453.249
Pandemic in 2026?
Vol. US$ 1.048.890
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
Vol. US$ 354.063
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Above 140
Above 145
Vol. US$ 810.233
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. US$ 85.782
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before Mar 2027
Before Feb 2027
Vol. US$ 71.447
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
Before January 1, 2027
Before December 1, 2026
Vol. US$ 94.155
Next pandemic
Before 2030
Before 2029
Vol. US$ 20.487
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Ícone de mercado OpenAI
OpenAI
Ícone de mercado Meta
Meta
Vol. US$ 469.428
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Vol. US$ 482.794
When will Anthropic release Mythos?
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Dec 1, 2026
Vol. US$ 546.224
Which states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Nevada
Arizona
Vol. US$ 39.538
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Ícone de mercado United States
United States
Ícone de mercado China
China
Vol. US$ 196.478
When will any company achieve AGI?
Before Apr 1, 2028
Before Jan 1, 2028
Vol. US$ 226.222
DeepSeek market share this week
Ícone de mercado Above 30.6%
Above 30.6%
Ícone de mercado Above 32.1%
Above 32.1%
Vol. US$ 21.426
When will Anthropic release Fable 5.2?
Ícone de mercado Before Dec 1, 2026
Before Dec 1, 2026
Ícone de mercado Before Nov 16, 2026
Before Nov 16, 2026
Vol. US$ 2.163
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
4
5
Vol. US$ 82.439
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